Trading Ideas
Showing articles 41 - 60 (5330 total)
15Feb3:07 pmEST
Keeping it Actionable When the Action Goes Off the Rails
One would think rates would be knifing back under 4.2% today, given the continuing speculative mania in SMCI, for example, as the AI bubble rolls on. However, that is not the case: Rates are barely down. Furthermore, Jeff Bezos is unloading billions of AMZN and now Warren Buffett is selling some of his AAPL (mind you, Buffett prefers to hold...
14Feb12:20 pmEST
Too Many Kisses on Valentine's Day
Even though Apple has been relatively quiet of late, especially compared to the AI/chips as well as other "Magnificent 7" stocks, there is no getting around the fact that the firm still has a market cap of $2.82 trillion, as we speak. Hence, the sheer size and weightings in the various indices and ETFs render AAPL incredibly relevant at all...
13Feb12:33 pmEST
We're Just Sweeping Dirty Dishes Under the Rug
It almost seems as though the market, and indeed many pundits, are still reeling from hot CPI print this morning. In other words, I seriously doubt we have seen the full brunt of the fallout from the notion that inflation is back on the upswing. Hence, imminent rate cuts are almost assuredly off the table, even for this Fed. And that is...
12Feb12:40 pmEST
Smooth Seas Forever
“A smooth sea never made a skilled sailor." -Franklin D. Roosevelt In front of tomorrow morning's Consumer Price Index print we have stocks higher. In particular, the rotation attempt down to small caps is taking hold. Even the oil stocks are finally waking up a bit, mostly the oil services names in the OIH ETF (look at RIG) and the...
11Feb9:40 amEST
Weekend Overview and Analysis 02/11/24 {Video}
The following video is a brief, condensed version of the full-length Weekend Video Strategy Session which I present each weekend to members of Market Chess Subscription Services. In the longer version, I offer tons of actionable trade ideas, educational content, and in-depth objective analysis across all markets. Please click here for more...
07Feb1:34 pmEST
I Think I'll Just Stay Here and Drink
Long-term extended and expensive names, like COST ORLY and Visa, are pushing higher yet today as some of the heavier-weighted names in the Nasdaq, like META, also try to pick up the slack and drown out weakness in the small caps and biotechs again. The same dynamic, of an extremely narrow but historically resilient bull market melt-up, that we...
06Feb12:22 pmEST
Did AI Solve the Need to Ship Goods Around the World?
Nice breakout attempts from some nice shipping charts, below, which we have been noting with Members for a while now: GNK and SB. Meanwhile. NVDA is finally dipping and perhaps printing a bearish engulfing daily reversal candle, pending the close today. Still, we have seen this movie too many times before to not think that dip-buyers/0DTE...
05Feb11:26 amEST
We're Not Back Up Until This Happens
Of all the names composing the SMH, ETF for the semiconductors, the only names up more than 3% as I write this are ON and, of course, NVDA. Most of the rest of the ETF names are either red or up less than 1%. This is happening as the broad market sells off today, with the small caps and Dow clearly leading lower while the S&P and Nasdaq are...
04Feb10:24 amEST
Weekend Overview and Analysis 02/04/24 {Video}
The following video is a brief, condensed version of the full-length Weekend Video Strategy Session which I present each weekend to members of Market Chess Subscription Services. In the longer version, I offer tons of actionable trade ideas, educational content, and in-depth objective analysis across all markets. Please click here for more...
31Jan12:32 pmEST
It's Now the Offseason for Mister Softee
Despite how pronounced the Alphabet (GOOGL) weakness is today, as we zoom towards the big FOMC at 2pm EST, I actually find the Microsoft (MSFT, below on the daily chart) reversal to be of even more significance. First and foremost, headed into earnings last evening MSFT was the largest publicly-traded firm at over $3 trillion in market cap,...
30Jan12:37 pmEST
Time for Chips to Finally Sober Up
Seeing as AMD earnings come out tonight alongside GOOGL and MSFT, it seems fairly easy to overlook the chip play on the eve of the FOMC. However, AMD, trading with a cool forward PE of 44, is no small potato in the semiconductor space. The firm has indeed been one of the key supporting actors beyond NVDA instrumental in the sector's most epic...
29Jan12:27 pmEST
Emerging Markets: The Ultimate Mirage?
Over the weekend I saw some data that flows into emerging markets reached the highest level in quite some time, as investors likely see bargains relative to America in the likes of China. However, that has been a sexy thesis for a while now, one which never seemed to pan out as China stocks grew weaker and weaker, defying even the late, great...
28Jan10:20 amEST
Weekend Overview and Analysis 01/28/24 {Video}
The following video is a brief, condensed version of the full-length Weekend Video Strategy Session which I present each weekend to members of Market Chess Subscription Services. In the longer version, I offer tons of actionable trade ideas, educational content, and in-depth objective analysis across all markets. Please click here for more...
26Jan12:16 pmEST
All of a Sudden, Intel Matters Again
We are seeing the first real chink in the armor for the red-hot semiconductors today, as Intel and KLAC lead the selloff lower. Next week will see a ton of monster leaders reporting earnings, headlined by AAPL the same day as the FOMC on Wednesday. So, you can be sure tons of event risk is ahead of us. Of course, given this market's recent...
25Jan1:51 pmEST
Tesla's Last Seduction
Shares of Tesla are down more than 12% as I write this. It truly is a sign of the times of what type of market beast we are dealing with when no one is surprised at all that the indices are green, even if off the morning highs. It was not too long ago when a move like this in TSLA would have clear broad ramifications, if only for a few days....
23Jan11:58 amEST
Robotic Stock for a Robotic Market
Given that Netflix reports tonight, then Tesla tomorrow evening, it is easy to overlook Intuitive Surgical (below, on the quarterly chart sporting a freight train uptrend since 2009, despite the 2020 hiccup) reporting tonight, as well. ISRG trades at a forward PE of nearly fifty-eight as I write this, remarkably expensive and aligned with how...
21Jan11:01 amEST
Weekend Overview and Analysis 01/21/24 {Video}
The following video is a brief, condensed version of the full-length Weekend Video Strategy Session which I present each weekend to members of Market Chess Subscription Services. In the longer version, I offer tons of actionable trade ideas, educational content, and in-depth objective analysis across all markets. Please click here for more...
19Jan11:17 amEST
Too Much Money Chasing After Too Few Goods
It is tough to think of a more blinking red light about another surge higher in inflation than the fallout from the ongoing tensions in the Red Sea than the major supply disruptions, as seen on a recent CNBC.com headline , below. On this options expiration Friday, stocks (especially tech, notably semiconductors, again) are ignoring any bad...