MarketChess
Showing articles 51 - 60 (6586 total)
01Aug11:24 amEST
Swingers
The increasingly wild price swings continue to be the true message of this market of late, as bulls thought they were totally in the clear for an unbridled short squeeze higher after the monstrous snapback rallies in NVDA, semis, and many tech names yesterday on the back of the FOMC, then META earnings last evening. And while META is still...
31Jul3:30 pmEST
It May Not Be the Right Cut
Earlier this month I sold out of a long-term short in Treasuries (long TBT, an ETF ultra-short TLT, seen below on the weekly chart; long TBT is basically a bet on higher rates and lower Treasury prices). As I noted with Members, my long-term view is still that the bond market is in serious trouble, but I saw a better entry price coming later...
30Jul12:21 pmEST
Fighting Your Greatest Opponent
"Your biggest opponent isn't the other guy. It's human nature." - Bob Knight There is a tendency from traders, most likely due to human nature, during earnings season to more or less temporarily forget about a given name after they have reported, especially if there is no dramatic reaction by the stock. However, doing so may come at the...
29Jul12:30 pmEST
Those Chips Suddenly Aren't Paula Deen Sweet Anymore
As we embark on one of the busiest midsummer weeks you will ever see in markets, between the biggest firms reporting earnings alongside about 40% of the S&P 500 Index's components, plus the FOMC and non-farm payrolls in the heat of an election year and heightened geopolitical tensions, you may have noticed the increasing intraday violence of...
25Jul12:04 pmEST
This is What a High(er) VIX Means
While certainly not at historically elevated extremes, the VIX (or Volatility Index) is higher than the sleepwalking levels it spent most of this spring and summer, heretofore. This morning, NVDA, semis, and most tech at-large opened sizably lower before reversing back to green/flat as I write this. Bulls are cheering this move as a kind of...
24Jul12:25 pmEST
We've Got Evidence Now, Pal
A higher low in the VIX; A lower high by the semiconductors (below on the updated daily chart for the SOX Index) as the 50-day moving average for that sector has now been clearly lost. These are pieces of strong evidence that some type of regime change is underway in equities, as dip-buyers previously feasted with easy on any and all...
23Jul1:26 pmEST
Misdirection to Throw You Off the Trail
After yesterday's relief bounce, the market is broadly being whipped around today with small caps outperforming. On the downside, however, semiconductors are among the worst performers on the back of an NXPI earnings selloff. Transports are also being sold as UPS is getting pounded after its own earnings. However, I believe the takeaway from...
22Jul11:44 amEST
New Regimes All the Way Around
If you accept the timeless Wall Street axiom that, "Markets hate uncertainty," then there can be little doubt an upcoming general election without the incumbent on the ballot will spark uncertainty, especially with President Biden dropping out of the race this late in the process. In addition, we have rising conflicts in the Middle East,...