Trading Ideas

Showing articles 1 - 20 (5083 total)

30Mar12:10 pmEST

Sugar Coated Rally Mountains

The great sugar bull market continues, as illustrated by the thinly-traded SGG ETN monthly chart pruning fresh highs, below. With sugar on a tear it is tough to see inflation collapsing anytime soon, especially given the ubiquity of sugar in the modern American lifestyle.  But as we wind down the first quarter of trading that has not yet...

29Mar10:41 amEST

Another Round

Amid higher rates we have stocks showing an appetite to gobble up just about anything, including some alarmingly negative commentary out of Micron last evening. Of course, with MU up 6% as I write this, not to mention LULU surging higher after earnings, bulls are feeling their oats again and calling for an imminent melt-up.  As we have noted,...

28Mar12:22 pmEST

Mid-Caps Are So...Mid

via mid Used to insult or degrade an opposing opinion, labeling it as average or poor quality. "We waited on that album for 6 months but it was mid!" Mid-cap is the term given to companies with a market cap (capitalization)—or market value—between $2 billion and $10 billion. They are housed in the oft-overlooked...

27Mar1:24 pmEST

The Old Priceline is Negotiating the Current Price Line

Lost in the shuffle of the super resilient strength in the likes of AAPL GOOG META MSFT NFLX NVDA of late has been BKNG, a holdings company which owns,,,, Cheapflights,, Momondo, and OpenTable. The dynamic suite of popular, online consumer booking websites and apps has been a monster...

25Mar12:03 pmEST

Rethinking the Oil Trade 03/25/23 {Video}

Please click here  for more details about joining Market Chess Subscription Services for plenty of other features, as well.  Also, be sure to check out recent, verified Testimonials about the service by clicking here Thank you for watching. Good luck trading this week.

24Mar11:08 amEST

That's the Story of Bifurcation

bifurcation noun bi·​fur·​ca·​tion ˌbī-(ˌ)fər-ˈkā-shən 1 the point or area at which something divides into two branches or parts : the point at which bifurcating occurs 2 the state of being divided into two branches or parts : the act of bifurcating Stocks continue to operate in a bifurcating world, with the likes of NFLX green...

23Mar10:34 amEST

Winter or Spring for Oil?

The calendar may have flipped to springtime, but with respect to crude oil's recent descending triangle bearish breakdown (seen below on USO ETF daily chart, which we previously highlighted in real-time both here and with Members) the issue is whether it is still just the beginning of winter for oil or not.  $62/$63 was our key breakdown level,...

21Mar3:22 pmEST

The Dow: Invert the Problem, and Pattern

“Invert, always invert: Turn a situation or problem upside down. Look at it backward. What happens if all our plans go wrong? -Charlie Munger In front of the most uncertain FOMC's in quite some time tomorrow, insofar as what The Fed will actually do and say, or choose not to do and say, as well as the updated dot plots, equity bulls are...

21Mar10:14 amEST

Rates Should (Still) Be Headed Much Higher

*U.S. FEBRUARY EXISTING HOME SALES SOAR +14.5% TO 4.58 MILLION; EST. +5.0 TO 4.19M; PREV. 4.00M The above red-hot data which just hit the tape reinforces just how menacing inflation is this regime, despite how many bond bulls continues to harp on the banks and what they perceive to be a looming dovish Fed tomorrow and beyond.  Even though the...

20Mar10:32 amEST

Even Swiss Bankers Have Lost Their Mystique

Swiss bankers, once regarded with a ton of mystique and for having a certain gravitas internationally, made headlines for the wrong reasons this weekend given the shotgun wedding deal between UBS and troubled CS, all while The Swiss National Bank backstopping. We also had the developed economy central banks around the world, including The Fed...

19Mar1:45 pmEST

Weekend Overview and Analysis 03/19/23 {Video}

The following video is a brief, condensed version of the full-length Weekend Video Strategy Session which I present each weekend to members of Market Chess Subscription Services. In the longer version, I offer tons of actionable trade ideas, educational content, and in-depth objective analysis across all markets.  Please click here  for more...

16Mar10:53 amEST

We Didn't Go to Stock Market Hell

...we went to Purgatory, my friend!  Depending on your positioning, timeframe, bias, and temperament, it may very well seem like this stock market has gone to Dante's Hell.  However, the reality is that an objective look at the major averages mostly suggests Purgatory for now--The Dow, S&P, and small caps are all below their 200-day moving...

15Mar9:38 amEST

The Medium is the Message

The prophetic Canadian philosopher Marshall McLuhan's famous phrase, “The medium is the message,” suggests that the medium through which we choose to communicate holds as much, if not more, value than the message itself.  Considering McLuhan died the same year as I was born (1980), he was way ahead of his time with his foresight about the world...

14Mar12:14 pmEST

Stocks Up, Rates Up, Playing Rough

The action is pretty self-explanatory today, even though it may not make much sense as inflation stays high and The Fed probably will still have to hike next week.  Stocks are much higher but so are rates, which is a divergence. And on the S&P 500 Index daily timeframe, updated below, we could easily be seeing a standard retracement to the...

13Mar2:30 pmEST

Danger, Curves Ahead

If you think the volatility we have seen of late has been a lot, I suspect you will need to brace yourself for even more intense turbulence going forward. As an example, we some have seasoned market pros expecting an imminent Fed rate CUT, while others are still in the camp The Fed should keep on hiking by 25 bps if not 50.  Mind you, this is...

13Mar10:31 amEST

Sleeping By the Bear

Despite the KRE (regional bank sector ETF) down another whopping 16% this morning on the back of SBNY SIVB getting wiped out and a whole host of other regionals getting walloped, bulls are piling into AAPL and Treasuries (as well as some crypto) with the hopes of riding this out as being a banking issue contained to the regionals.  While that...

12Mar10:21 amEST

Weekend Overview and Analysis 03/12/23 {Video}

The following video is a brief, condensed version of the full-length Weekend Video Strategy Session which I present each weekend to members of Market Chess Subscription Services. In the longer version, I offer tons of actionable trade ideas, educational content, and in-depth objective analysis across all markets.  Please click here  for more...

09Mar3:33 pmEST

...Until Something Breaks

The Fed can keep trying for a soft landing, and markets can keep rallying, "until something breaks," has been the rallying cry (literally) for bulls for a good while now. But with the SIVB crash today and banks overall leading lower, as well as the small caps in the IWM, the issue is relevant as to whether now something has, in fact, been...

09Mar10:17 amEST

Make an Example Out of Them

SVB Financial Group, below on the monthly chart, is getting walloped by more than 35% this morning after it launched a $1.75 billion share offering to try to salvage its balance sheet. The lender has many startups struggling from venture capital funding.  Even though the broad market is staging a post-jobless claims bounce (it is fading...

08Mar11:53 amEST

More Cross-Currents Than the Port of Shanghai

Stocks are decidedly undecided through midday, as Powell's testimony today has a much more "data dependent" feel to it when he was specifically pressed on what The Fed would at the upcoming March FOMC. However, The Fed's mouthpiece, Nick Timiraos, did tweet out that barring cold data coming in The Fed could easily raise 50 bps later this month....

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