MarketChess
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03Oct5:54 pmEST
Stock Market Recap 10/03/19 {Video}
The following video is a brief, condensed version of the Stock Market Recap which I present each evening to members of Market Chess Subscription Services. In the longer version, I offer tons of actionable trade ideas, educational content, and in-depth objective analysis across all markets. If you enjoy my videos and blog posts, then please...
03Oct10:58 amEST
ISM Sending Out an SOS
Alternate Title: "We're All Economists Now" Surprisingly weak non-manufacturing ISM data this morning sent stocks sharply lower after what was a modest opening bounce. Clearly, the recent chorus of recession calls seems to be taking its toll on a market increasingly sensitive to economic data. While it remains to be seen if future data,...
02Oct3:18 pmEST
Small, Big
It is difficult to overstate just how significant of a must-hold area the small caps are currently probing. On the way down, there were several spots we flagged which bulls would have preferred seen hold valiantly. But that is a much different scenario than a price area on IWM (ETF for the small-cap Russell 2000 Index) which simply must...
02Oct11:11 amEST
Catch and No Release
Biotechnology stocks, gauging the IBB and XBI sector ETFs, have been weak for a while now, even before growth stocks and then the major indices began to buckle of late. Thus, even as the Dow is off by 400 points here, when we see XBI flipping green this morning after its latest dive lower on unusually heavy sell volume for a week and a half...
01Oct3:29 pmEST
So Close You Can Almost Taste It
Quick note into the bell here as the Nasdaq tries to offset small cap damage today: Note how exhausted the U.S. Dollar looks today, clearly short-term overbought on the UUP ETF daily chart (UUP is simply the U.S. Dollar versus a basket of developed economies' currencies). As you know, the Dollar and gold often have an inverse relationship, but...
01Oct11:07 amEST
Manufactured Chop
Weak ISM manufacturing data figures to have been the culprit to reverse a strong open in the IWM as well as the market at-large this morning. As I write this, the small caps are now slightly in the red on the day, setting up another test of mettle in terms of whether dip-buyers have the gumption to step back into what remains a notably choppy...
30Sep2:59 pmEST
A Gold Top? Maybe. Maybe Not. Maybe Go to the Weekly Chart
Recent strength in the U.S. Dollar has coincided with a sharp pullback in the precious metals and mining complex, which should not be all that surprising considering the run the sector has had, by and large, since around Memorial Day. Still, once GDX (ETF for the senior gold miners, on its daily and weekly charts, respectively below) lost the...
30Sep10:32 amEST
In Need of a Magic Boost
It remains to be seen whether Wall Street will adhere to its old adage to, "Sell Rosh Hashanah, Buy Yom Kippur," this year, something we fleshed out in more detail for Members over the weekend. But with a modest bounce going this morning as I write this, the third quarter of trading may very well go out with a whimper today after seemingly...
27Sep10:18 amEST
Waiting for Things to Align Better
Another opening fade in both the small caps and especially the Nasdaq drives home the message just how choppy and indecisive the current market truly is. As we have been noting, this could be an "all of the above" function of end of month/quarter gamesmanship by fund managers, swirling headlines, shaking out bullish sentiment, or simply a...
26Sep3:21 pmEST
Slow and Steady is Losing the Race
The small caps housed in the IWM ETF seem to be at a do-or-die area right now, as illustrated on the IWM hourly chart, updated below. On the one hand, the smalls have pulled back off their rally throughout early-to-mid September in a fairly orderly manner. In and of itself, that seems to be bullish, as we noted a while back. But sooner or...
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About
“chessNwine” has been a popular trader and financial blogger since 2009. His work has appeared in The Wall Street Journal Online Edition, Yahoo Finance, TheStreet.com, Josh Brown’s The Reformed Broker blog, AbnormalReturns.com, Barry Ritholtz’s The Big Picture blog, and the “Suggested” stream on Stocktwits.com.
