20Mar11:04 amEST

Assessing the Eruption

Biotechnology stocks erupted again this morning, with large cap biotech Biogen, seen below on a 15-minute timeframe leading the charge. As we all know by now, biotechs have been like a volcano erupting frequently for many years now.

At issue is whether one of these eruptions is an intermediate-term blow-off event, leading to a correction. 

In terms of assessing that issue, I am keying off Biogen. If we see a full gap-fill below (light blue line), either today or next week, it could easily mean that buyers are a bit exhausted up here, since in a true melt-up which lasts days or even weeks we would see gaps higher not get filled right away (leading much higher first for "exhaustion gaps" before eventually filling quickly). 

Locking in Methodical Gains;... Mixed Trades; Chess Moves

 
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