MarketChess

Showing articles 1 - 10 (6809 total)

01Oct3:09 pmEST

Let the Winter Pass in October

"Sometimes it is best to lie low, to do nothing but let the winter pass." -Robert Greene Despite how lousy crude oil itself has been, particularly when it comes to sustaining upside moves, quite a few oil stocks and related names to the oil space (e.g. tankers, discussed with Members) are acting quite well. Exhibit A would be APA (Apache)...

30Sep3:18 pmEST

Cereal Gamblers and Serial Gamblers

Prediction platform Kalshi (not to be confused with the "healthy" cereal Kashi) is sending shock waves throughout the online gambling world today, apparently having a bigger-than-expected chunk of market share in sports betting during the all-important football season. We know Kalshi does well in those states where it is, of course, legal, like...

29Sep2:48 pmEST

If You Open That Door...

Compare and contrast a recent Yahoo Financial article versus the infamous Irving Fisher quote less than two weeks before the 1929 crash, respectively below.  You are welcome to call this doom and gloom posting if you like. But the fact remains that, objectively, these types of declarative statements about markets in such a cocksure way, about...

26Sep3:30 pmEST

Afternoon Update 09/26/25 {Video}

25Sep2:06 pmEST

Dangerous Temptations

This market regime, centered around the Nasdaq names, will not end unless and until we see the recurring theme (likely in the hundreds by now since early-2023) of opening gaps down aggressively getting bought begins to effectively punish bulls. In order to do that we need to see a plethora of daily closes on the lows, or near them, and then...

24Sep1:58 pmEST

Everyone Who Wanted to Sell Oil By Now, Already Has

One of the more instructive aspects about observing long-term timeframes is to gain clarity. Specifically, in the case of oil we have the ETF, on the first quarterly chart, below, sporting the "bull killer" pattern of a crash more than ten years ago followed by the last ten years of, overall, tedious sideways action. In other words, since the...

23Sep3:19 pmEST

Head Games Galore

The nature of a market melt-up is that classic bearish reversal signals are routinely ignored and even openly mocked. After all, if "stocks only go up because 'they' won't let them drop," is the prevailing mantra then what good is it to assign any significance, whatsoever, to textbook potential reversal candlesticks or patterns?  Simply put,...

22Sep3:05 pmEST

Let Them Eat Punches to the Face

If the plan after April's pivot by the Treasury Secretary (recall, "It is Main Street's turn now," which lasted about as long as a blink of the eye) and White House Administration at-large was to goose virtually all assets at the expense of the overwhelming majority of Americans' cost of living, then so far so good--Just today we have another...

19Sep3:06 pmEST

Afternoon Update 09/19/25 {Video}

18Sep11:25 amEST

A Rare Triple Lindy

On news of the NVIDIA $5 billion stake and partnership with Intel we have semiconductors shooting higher, leading the tape this morning after yesterday's FOMC rate cut.  The SMH, sector ETF for chips, is now very overbought (clearly above its upper Bollinger Band) on the monthly, quarterly, and yearly charts, all respectively below. To see...

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