MarketChess
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17Jan4:20 pmEST
Stock Market Recap 01/17/23 {Video}
The following video is a brief, condensed version of the Stock Market Recap which I present each evening to members of Market Chess Subscription Services. In the longer version, I offer tons of actionable trade ideas, educational content, and in-depth objective analysis across all markets. If you enjoy my videos and blog posts, then please...
17Jan10:31 amEST
The Catalyst Always Comes Out of Left Field
I can assure you, as someone who lived through, traded, and diligently tracked and then revisited 2008 well after the fact, that very few people in the months leading up to (i.e. BEFORE!) Lehman Brothers failing--and the subsequent fallout--were expecting just that. Sure, I could always cherry-pick 9/11 in the prior bear market but, as we know,...
13Jan11:47 amEST
Line it Up for the Real Start of the New Year
This is a concept we discussed with Members as far back as mid-December, and it is worth repeating: It can often take up to two weeks after the holidays for the market to truly regain that full squad feeling and have it reflected in volumes-- Markets will be closed this Monday, January 16th in observance of Martin Luther King Jr. Day. ...
12Jan10:45 amEST
Big Round Numbers and Obvious Tests
After basically an inline CPI report, markets popped, reversed a bit lower, and are recovering now as I write this albeit with the Nasdaq slightly red. I still maintain this is the phase of the bear market where nonstop hope is attempting to singlehandedly reverse the dominant trend lower, but ultimately fails--We saw a similar situation in the...
11Jan12:15 pmEST
Everyone Wants to Fix Broken People
Just as you might go through a phase in life where you try to fix broken people, so too do traders in bear markets often try to fix broken charts. But the same bitter lessons apply: In life, some people are broken and do not want to be fixed. If you try to fix them, you yourself are often subjected to various shrapnel from their destruction,...
10Jan3:42 pmEST
CPI Estimates Need to Be More Aggressive
The big showdown in markets this week is clearly the CPI print Thursday morning, something which should be apparent given the price action so far today and this week. Estimates are averaged out to be 6.5%, which strikes me as, appropriately given market sentiment, hopeful more than anything else--Hopeful that inflation will recede aggressively...
10Jan11:17 amEST
Watch and Burn
After the Powell remarks this morning were essentially a nonevent, the main focus of the week coming up is still the CPI inflation print on Thursday morning followed by the large banks kicking off earnings season on Friday. Although bulls are inferring that Powell's remarks being a nonevent is bullish, another way to read into it is that Powell...
09Jan3:24 pmEST
These Cougars Just Went from Predator to Prey
A bonafide, dominant retail player since the 2009 lows, Lululemon surged in popularity for a variety of demographics but especially women "of a certain age" trying to retain a comfortable yet attractive look. Indeed, LULU's stock is something of which chapters in textbooks can be written, perhaps one of the poster children of the QE/ZIRP era...
09Jan11:26 amEST
A Confident Market: But is it Authentic?
Considering we have Powell speaking tomorrow, followed by the CPI on Thursday (not to mention the big banks kicking off a new earnings season Friday morning) this market seems uniquely confident in the face of those potential headline risks. It is often said that whereas bull markets climb a wall of worry, bear markets slide down a slope of...
07Jan12:19 pmEST
Historical Bear Market Analysis 01/07/23 {Video}
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About
“chessNwine” has been a popular trader and financial blogger since 2009. His work has appeared in The Wall Street Journal Online Edition, Yahoo Finance, TheStreet.com, Josh Brown’s The Reformed Broker blog, AbnormalReturns.com, Barry Ritholtz’s The Big Picture blog, and the “Suggested” stream on Stocktwits.com.
