Manufactured Chop

08Oct10:56 amEST

The Great Wall of Headlines

The ongoing sensitivity to the U.S./China trade war discussions is back on full display this morning, with an opening gap lower undoing the last few days of bouncing on some of the major indices. While the Dow, S&P, Nasdaq, and small caps are all above last Thursday's lows as I write this, it would behoove bulls to step back in sooner than...

07Oct5:59 pmEST

Stock Market Recap 10/07/19 {Video}

The following video is a brief, condensed version of the Stock Market Recap which I present each evening to members of Market Chess Subscription Services. In the longer version, I offer tons of actionable trade ideas, educational content, and in-depth objective analysis across all markets. If you enjoy my videos and blog posts, then please...

07Oct10:54 amEST

In Need of an Oil Change This Fall

Although not perfectly correlated, it sure seems as though U.S. equities largely begin to act in trepidation with each swoon in crude oil. Gauging the USO, ETF for "black gold," below on the daily timeframe, we can see a reasonable correlation in recent months with equites in terms of each period where volatility increased in stocks with abrupt...

04Oct11:45 amEST

Hot Sector Update 10/04/19 {Video}

03Oct5:54 pmEST

Stock Market Recap 10/03/19 {Video}

The following video is a brief, condensed version of the Stock Market Recap which I present each evening to members of Market Chess Subscription Services. In the longer version, I offer tons of actionable trade ideas, educational content, and in-depth objective analysis across all markets. If you enjoy my videos and blog posts, then please...

03Oct10:58 amEST

ISM Sending Out an SOS

Alternate Title: "We're All Economists Now" Surprisingly weak non-manufacturing ISM data this morning sent stocks sharply lower after what was a modest opening bounce. Clearly, the recent chorus of recession calls seems to be taking its toll on a market increasingly sensitive to economic data. While it remains to be seen if future data,...

02Oct3:18 pmEST

Small, Big

It is difficult to overstate just how significant of a must-hold area the small caps are currently probing. On the way down, there were several spots we flagged which bulls would have preferred seen hold valiantly. But that is a much different scenario than a price area on IWM (ETF for the small-cap Russell 2000 Index) which simply must...

02Oct11:11 amEST

Catch and No Release

Biotechnology stocks, gauging the IBB and XBI sector ETFs, have been weak for a while now, even before growth stocks and then the major indices began to buckle of late. Thus, even as the Dow is off by 400 points here, when we see XBI flipping green this morning after its latest dive lower on unusually heavy sell volume for a week and a half...

01Oct3:29 pmEST

So Close You Can Almost Taste It

Quick note into the bell here as the Nasdaq tries to offset small cap damage today: Note how exhausted the U.S. Dollar looks today, clearly short-term overbought on the UUP ETF daily chart (UUP is simply the U.S. Dollar versus a basket of developed economies' currencies). As you know, the Dollar and gold often have an inverse relationship, but...

01Oct11:07 amEST

Manufactured Chop

Weak ISM manufacturing data figures to have been the culprit to reverse a strong open in the IWM as well as the market at-large this morning. As I write this, the small caps are now slightly in the red on the day, setting up another test of mettle in terms of whether dip-buyers have the gumption to step back into what remains a notably choppy...