MarketChess

25Jun2:15 pmEST

Let's Get This Out of the Red

After forcing myself to be patient for several months now, I am warming up to the idea that most of the commodity complex has been washed out lower, be it oil, gold, silver, and ags. Specifically, the levered longs from last month in oil are likely at the point where they are mumbling to themselves as they walk to their cars in the casino...

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24Jun11:00 amEST

Micron Macro

Semiconductors are displaying relative weakness as I write this amid a broad market morning bounce to respond to yesterday's sharp Nasdaq-led selloff. However, we have to be honest that this is all prologue to the ~$1.2 trillion market cap Micron Technology, Inc. earnings event this evening. And that is all the more pronounced given that we...

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22Jun3:14 pmEST

They Sell Occam's Razors at Big Box Stores

While the weakness in the Magnificent 7 (using MAGS ETF as a gauge) is finally becoming too much to ignore today, as GOOGL and AMZN are selling off heavily to follow the ongoing META MSFT underperformance, let us not ignore the continued laggards in the housing retail big box segment.  For a good while now we have profiled the bearish chart...

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18Jun2:55 pmEST

Afternoon Update 06/18/26 {Video}

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17Jun3:32 pmEST

Warsh Sale Rule Begins

Despite being fluent in corporate-speak, Kevin Warsh still got the point across during his first FOMC presser as Fed Chair that inflation is a legitimate concern, perhaps more than Jerome Powell let on during his final years as Chair. As a result, equities mostly reversed lower albeit with the plucky semiconductors still up nicely on the...

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16Jun3:03 pmEST

Enter Sandisk

Exit light Enter night Take my hand We're off to never-never land, yeah As much as the recent SpaceX (SPCX) IPO has been capturing headlines and momentum hype the reality is that Sandisk has clearly taken over this spring as the hottest name in the hottest sector of the hottest index during this melt-up. In fact, you may have seen...

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15Jun2:47 pmEST

Learn from a Legend

Amidst another headline-driven rally in stocks and selloff in oil today, this time on the back of what is allegedly the final deal with Iran, let us take a step back given the redundancy of the tape of late.  Specifically, an overlooked Wall Street legend is the late, great Julian Robertson, Wall Street investor and founder of Tiger...

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12Jun2:52 pmEST

Afternoon Update 06/12/26 {Video}

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11Jun3:05 pmEST

I Knew It! I'm Surrounded By...

In front of tomorrow's SpaceX IPO (to be traded under ticker symbol, SPCX) President Trump came out earlier this afternoon with yet another market-moving Truth Social post where he cancelled this evening's military strikes against Iran as he said peace discussions moved to the highest levels of Iranian leadership. The indices surged on this...

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10Jun2:55 pmEST

Fighting it Out in the Box

The violent price swings with an uptick in volatility that we noted yesterday is all the more pronounced today, with another sharp downside reversal earlier in the broad market after this morning's inline but still extremely hot CPI print. This evening we hear from Oracle, a legacy tech play heavily-involved with AI. ORCL is back below its...

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