MarketChess

16Oct12:27 pmEST

As Long as the Market is Exuberant, Let's Learn to Love the Bomb

Amazon made waves (no pun intended) this morning with a headline flashing pre-market that the iconic, innovative firm plans to invest $500 million to develop small modular reactors.  As you might imagine, the entire nuclear and uranium space shot up on the news and is still right near session highs virtually across the board as I write this....

Read More

15Oct2:54 pmEST

Get Your ASML Out of the Road

Earlier in the session the Dutch-based semiconductor ASML saw its earnings number leak online. The firm cut sales and guidance numbers, to the point where the CEO felt it necessary to try to assuage fears from market players. Still, as I write this into the final hour we have ASML down 17%. Previously, we noted ASML as an actionable short idea...

Read More

14Oct2:05 pmEST

A Tell on the Bond Market Pain Trade

Today is Columbus Day, which is federal holiday in the U.S.. And that means government offices and banks are closed. The bond market is also closed for the holiday, but the New York Stock Exchange and Nasdaq are both open and functioning normally today. Well, at least mechanically they appear to be.  As far as sentiment, it is more of the same...

Read More

11Oct3:01 pmEST

Afternoon Update 10/11/24 {Video}

Read More

10Oct12:02 pmEST

I See the Stag and the Flation

"I was around for stagflation, and it was 10% unemployment, it was high-single-digit inflation. Right now we have 3% growth, which is pretty solid growth, I would, say by any measure, and we have inflation running under 3%,” said Powell, who is right about growth if looking at final sales to domestic purchasers, and correct about inflation if...

Read More

09Oct2:20 pmEST

A Wounded Wolf is Especially Dangerous

As we saw with China plays over the last few weeks there is tons of risk in any and all crowded trades in a bifurcated market coming unglued at the drop of a hat. While I believe that day is coming as far as crowded longs in the Mag7 names, semiconductors, and other assorted plays like CAVA COST PLTR WING, among others, it of course applies to...

Read More

08Oct1:31 pmEST

Judging That First Real Dip

Amid renewed political will in America for nuclear energy to help power AI, on top of continuous Middle East escalations, we have seen uranium stocks enjoy an impressive early-autumn trading period as a group.  In the last few sessions we finally got some dips to judge, insofar as whether the sector's notorious reputation for unforgiving...

Read More

07Oct10:58 amEST

Excuse Me, I Believe You Have My FEMA Stapler

Rates on the 10-Year Note are now back above 4%, as The Fed's jumbo rate cut on September 18th continues to look increasingly vulnerable to the bond market finally pushing back on "anything-goes" central banking policies over a period of decades. True, it has only been a few weeks, whereas several more months of this pushback from the bond...

Read More

04Oct2:10 pmEST

Afternoon Update 10/04/24 {Video}

Read More

03Oct2:59 pmEST

Let Me Explain Sumin' to You

The complacency in both markets and society at-large regarding the longshoreman strike is extreme but not surprising considering we are in the midst of one of the most forgiving markets in modern history, coupled with a generation or two who has not seen a crippling nationwide strike's deleterious effects on the economy and morale.  Putting to...

Read More