MarketChess

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11Dec2:30 pmEST

The Endgame for Oil Wars

While equities are still largely bouncing this afternoon, even if quite a few parts of the market are off their highs, crude oil remains in search of a bottom. On the monthly chart for crude futures, below, note the significance of the $60 level, going back many years. Of course, we have to then go to the next level of thinking, considering...

11Dec1:10 pmEST

Separating Illusion from Reality

The zoomed-out 30-minute chart for the Russell 2000 Index ETF, below, pretty much illustrates the wild swings (or "violent indecision" on the part of market players) we have seed in the tape for a good while now. Eventually, the marker will distinguish the illusion from reality, in terms of whether we are topping or instead gearing up for an...

11Dec11:16 amEST

Bringing Home the Bacon with These Two Ideas

I am skeptical of the market bounce so far, as it has the hallmarks of a temporary relief rally. The Russell 2000 Index closing over 1,190 would change that thesis to be more bullish, though. In the meantime, if the market rally continues I still have my eye on RRGB, one of the better casual dining long setups. On the first daily chart, below,...

11Dec10:25 amEST

Cutting Two Early Losers; Chess Moves

As you might imagine, I do not like the action in both natural gas and the biotechnology sector this morning, relative to the long and short positions I hold in each, respectively. Because my style is to religiously keep losses contained, I cut both positions here. I sold UGAZ in front of the natural gas inventory report at $8.68 from the $9.04...

11Dec12:46 amEST

Late Night Strategy for Thursday

On the long side, BKW is back in contention after Wednesday's stunning outperformance to the bloody market sell-off. On the first daily chart, below, a move back over $35 can trigger a long starter position, especially if the broad market is in bounce-back mode. And on the short side, extended airlines like UAL printed exhaustion candles, seen...

10Dec5:24 pmEST

Stock Market Recap 12/10/14 {Video}

The following video contains coverage of relevant broad market issues (for equities) in addition to plenty of actionable trading ideas across other asset classes. Feel free to pick and choose which ideas and parts of the analysis fit your style. Always properly manage your downside portfolio risk for any trades taken. Enjoy tonight's...

10Dec3:12 pmEST

Making More Chess Moves

I closed out the rest of my NUGT long at $13.20, from my $13.09 entry, to avoid turning a winner into a loser. Yesterday, I took off part of the nice win in this blog post . As usual, precious metals and miners are tough to trade, which is why I am so fastidious about staying disciplined with them. I also went long BIS, the ultra-short...

10Dec2:04 pmEST

Adding to a Winner; Chess Moves

I added more to my UNP short position, marking it up to a 6% portfolio position now. I added to the short, just now, at  $113.72 after my original entry at $118.73 in this blog post . Rails continue to get hit. And the UNP hourly chart, below, is flashing signs of breaking down below a bear pennant pattern (highlighted). I am keeping my...

10Dec1:12 pmEST

Swimming with Sharks; Chess Moves

Natural gas has been a tough one to trade for a while now. But I am fortunate to have taken down some big winners in the UGAZ, triple-long natural gas ETF, in many instances over the past year or two due to disciplined trading, technicals, and strict stop-loss adherence. With this in mind, I went long UGAZ at $9.04 with a protective stop-loss...

10Dec12:31 pmEST

Steve Wynn Wrapped in Red for the Holidays

WYNN and the major casinos have been perennial short setups I have charted for a while now, though I am still surprised by how violent the move lower has been. On the first daily chart, below, note that WYNN has staged, for all intents and purposes, a mini-crash. The stock is too oversold to short, but not my kind of a long either, and risk...

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