MarketChess

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25Feb11:29 amEST

Cut and Run; Chess Moves

I decided to sell my ERY long here at $18.81 from the $19.02 entry I discussed in this blog post .  This amounts to a loss of a little over 1%.  As I frequently mention, the key to successfully playing the triple-levered ETFs is to have a no-nonsense approach in those times when the trade is not working for you, or is slowly drifting away...

25Feb10:23 amEST

Opening Take on the Wintry Coliseum

We have a mixed tape in the early going, with big moves lower in JAKK and rallies in GOGO (off the Delta - DAL - news, but earnings are tomorrow) and EYES catching the interest of momentum traders.  Oil is also squishy at $49 as we near the EIA inventory report any minute now. My positions are mixed, too, with AKS and ERY in the green but BTU...

24Feb4:40 pmEST

Stock Market Recap 02/24/15 {Video}

The following video contains coverage of relevant broad market issues (for equities) in addition to plenty of actionable trading ideas across other asset classes. Feel free to pick and choose which ideas and parts of the analysis fit your style. Always properly manage your downside portfolio risk for any trades taken. Enjoy tonight's...

24Feb3:31 pmEST

Advancing a Thesis; Chess Moves

Along the same lines as the coals catching a bid for a snapback rally, and per my earlier long in BTU, the steel names could easily participate in a rally for the global materials players. As a result, I went long AKS just now, at $4.52, with a protective stop-loss below $4.30. This is roughly 4% of my trading portfolio capital.  Much like BTU,...

24Feb2:22 pmEST

Picking Through the Coal Rubble; Chess Moves

Seeing as natural gas provided me with some fruitful long trades over the past few weeks, it makes sense that coal will now get into the act for some type of snapback rally. As everyone knows by now, coals have been left for dead, with bankruptcy still on the table for some of them. Nonetheless, quick trades should still be for the taking. With...

24Feb1:30 pmEST

The Extinct Shooting Star

In light of the nature of this particular bull market and all of its accompanied false breakdown and "sucker tops," it almost seems like a sacrilegious act to even mention the classic topping signs.  But I am going to do it anyway, not as some form of stubbornness but rather to avoid the pitfalls of late-stage bull markets which inevitably...

24Feb12:27 pmEST

Beaming Up

Into the midday portion of the trading session, I am watching the $122.50 area on the small cap ETF, IWM. We saw a breakout above it, with Chair Yellen beaming it up this morning. However, just as soon as it broke out above the highlighted resistance trendline on the 30-minute chart, below, it came back down to "squat" at the top range.  Into...

24Feb11:10 amEST

A Monster Coming Out of the Gap

Natural gas, specifically UGAZ (the triple-long ETF derived from UNG, the straight-up ETF) has, fortunately, been a monster for me each of the past two weeks.  At issue is whether three times will be a charm to conclude the month of February.  In a blog post yesterday, we looked at the shorter-term 30-minute timeframe, updated below, for UNG. ...

24Feb10:31 amEST

Dodging Incoming Missiles

We have some interesting spreads to note this morning, as Chair Yellen reassures the markets that no Fed rate hike is imminent. It is important to be aware of these moving parts of the market to dodge any potential bullets, should the divergences get resolved quickly.  In particular, TSLA is selling off even as oil rallies. While the two have...

23Feb4:24 pmEST

Stock Market Recap 02/23/15 {Video}

The following video contains coverage of relevant broad market issues (for equities) in addition to plenty of actionable trading ideas across other asset classes. Feel free to pick and choose which ideas and parts of the analysis fit your style. Always properly manage your downside portfolio risk for any trades taken. Enjoy tonight's video, and...

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