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24Feb4:40 pmEST

Stock Market Recap 02/24/15 {Video}

The following video contains coverage of relevant broad market issues (for equities) in addition to plenty of actionable trading ideas across other asset classes. Feel free to pick and choose which ideas and parts of the analysis fit your style. Always properly manage your downside portfolio risk for any trades taken. Enjoy tonight's...

24Feb3:31 pmEST

Advancing a Thesis; Chess Moves

Along the same lines as the coals catching a bid for a snapback rally, and per my earlier long in BTU, the steel names could easily participate in a rally for the global materials players. As a result, I went long AKS just now, at $4.52, with a protective stop-loss below $4.30. This is roughly 4% of my trading portfolio capital.  Much like BTU,...

24Feb2:22 pmEST

Picking Through the Coal Rubble; Chess Moves

Seeing as natural gas provided me with some fruitful long trades over the past few weeks, it makes sense that coal will now get into the act for some type of snapback rally. As everyone knows by now, coals have been left for dead, with bankruptcy still on the table for some of them. Nonetheless, quick trades should still be for the taking. With...

24Feb1:30 pmEST

The Extinct Shooting Star

In light of the nature of this particular bull market and all of its accompanied false breakdown and "sucker tops," it almost seems like a sacrilegious act to even mention the classic topping signs.  But I am going to do it anyway, not as some form of stubbornness but rather to avoid the pitfalls of late-stage bull markets which inevitably...

24Feb12:27 pmEST

Beaming Up

Into the midday portion of the trading session, I am watching the $122.50 area on the small cap ETF, IWM. We saw a breakout above it, with Chair Yellen beaming it up this morning. However, just as soon as it broke out above the highlighted resistance trendline on the 30-minute chart, below, it came back down to "squat" at the top range.  Into...

24Feb11:10 amEST

A Monster Coming Out of the Gap

Natural gas, specifically UGAZ (the triple-long ETF derived from UNG, the straight-up ETF) has, fortunately, been a monster for me each of the past two weeks.  At issue is whether three times will be a charm to conclude the month of February.  In a blog post yesterday, we looked at the shorter-term 30-minute timeframe, updated below, for UNG. ...

24Feb10:31 amEST

Dodging Incoming Missiles

We have some interesting spreads to note this morning, as Chair Yellen reassures the markets that no Fed rate hike is imminent. It is important to be aware of these moving parts of the market to dodge any potential bullets, should the divergences get resolved quickly.  In particular, TSLA is selling off even as oil rallies. While the two have...

23Feb4:24 pmEST

Stock Market Recap 02/23/15 {Video}

The following video contains coverage of relevant broad market issues (for equities) in addition to plenty of actionable trading ideas across other asset classes. Feel free to pick and choose which ideas and parts of the analysis fit your style. Always properly manage your downside portfolio risk for any trades taken. Enjoy tonight's video, and...

23Feb3:12 pmEST

Back in an Energy Short; Chess Moves

After a quick overnight win last week in ERY, the triple-bearish ETF for energy stocks, I just went long ERY again at $19.02 with a protective stop-loss below $18. This is roughly a 4% position in my trading portfolio.  Crude oil and energy stocks faded off the OPEC rumor and subsequent spike earlier this afternoon. They all remain in overall...

23Feb2:13 pmEST

Inversion Issues for Tesla

Tesla Motors continues to operate at the cross-section of an important technical juncture.  On the one hand, the case can be made for a broad, cockeyed topping pattern (light blue lines on daily chart, below). But on the other hand, Tesla is still a super-stock from 2013 with major disruptive abilities in the auto sector. Beyond that, the stock...

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