MarketChess
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28Feb11:59 amEST
Saturday Study Session 02/28/15 {Video}
In the the following video, I fuse educational and relevant, actionable content in the market. When Market Chess Subscription Services launch, members will have access to a steady stream of content such as this video. Enjoy the video, and enjoy your weekend. Direct Vimeo Link - click here
27Feb3:40 pmEST
Swapping Positions Into the Weekend; Chess Moves
Headed into the weekend, I went long SOXS at $11.32, with a stop-loss below $11. This is a 4% position-size, and is the triple-bearish ETF for the semiconductor sector. The top two components in the SMH ETF, INTC and TSM, are closing the week out weak, and I am betting they will lead the group lower next week. I also went and sold out of my...
27Feb3:00 pmEST
Trapping the Big Cat with a Chase; Chess Moves
I just went short the giant global industrial player, Caterpillar, at $83.03, with a protective cover-stop over $86. This position amounts to roughly 4% of my trading portfolio capital. The big CAT has been weak on the whole since around Thanksgiving of last year. But that weakness has been covered up by the chase happening in the market...
27Feb2:07 pmEST
Close to Solving the Mystery
As a follow-up to my previous blog posts and video analysis about the gold miners likely being in the final round of a heavyweight fight before they either cement a major bottom or resume their bear market lower, consider three of the top holdings in the GDX, ETF for senior gold miners. ABX is close to trying to confirm a massive inverse head...
27Feb1:11 pmEST
Playing a Quality Setup; Chess Moves
I just went long CRTO at $45.59 with a protective stop-loss below $43, looking to swing trade a breakout in this bullish technical setup which we have been looking at in recent weeks. This position amounts to roughly 4% of my portfolio capital. CRTO is a French internet firm which has shown signs of being under accumulation of late, gauging...
27Feb12:15 pmEST
A Win is a Win is a Win; Chess Moves
After entering UGA, the gasoline ETF, back on Wednesday at $36.63 for a long trade, I just sold the other half of my position for about a two-point win. As I noted, this was a smaller position size due to how thinly UGA trades at times. However, a win is a win. And after two big wins in UGAZ in recent weeks, recognizing the rotation into...
27Feb10:58 amEST
No Longer Between the Hedges
I am considering selling the final piece of my UGA ("University of Georgia") long, which is the ETF for gasoline. As I noted when I initiated the position, my sizing was smaller than usual because the ETF trades thinly in terms of volumes. Nonetheless, a profit is a profit. And at this point the ETF is no longer "between the hedges" as price...
27Feb10:11 amEST
Remnants of Old Fear
Although the financial crisis is a distant memory for most by now, especially considering the magnitude of this bull run amid relatively low volatility, Bank of America seems to have remnants of that old fear. Specifically, on the zoomed-out weekly chart, below, we can see that price found resistance at prior support from July 2008, which...
26Feb4:23 pmEST
Stock Market Recap 02/26/15 {Video}
The following video contains coverage of relevant broad market issues (for equities) in addition to plenty of actionable trading ideas across other asset classes. Feel free to pick and choose which ideas and parts of the analysis fit your style. Always properly manage your downside portfolio risk for any trades taken. Enjoy tonight's...
26Feb3:42 pmEST
More Trades Into the Bell; Chess Moves
I cut my AKS long at $4.45 from my $4.52 entry for a loss, as the rotation thesis down to those materials did not pan out immediately as I thought it would. So, once again, I will keep losses quite small. I also went long TBT, the ultra-short ETF for Treasuries, at $43.73 with a protective stop-loss below $42. Bonds could still be bear-flaggng...