MarketChess

30Dec10:47 amEST

Did This Holiday Rally Really Go Off the Rails?

Seeing the Dow down 200 points right now may seem at odds with the notion of the "Santa Rally," encompassing the last five trading days of the year and spilling over into the first two sessions of the new year. However, as we noted with Members late-last week and over the weekend, it may very well be a situation where the extended rally prior...

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26Dec1:47 pmEST

Santa is Officially in Town

Santa Rally: The S anta Claus rally is a typical rise in stock prices during the last five trading days in December and the first two trading days in the following January. With the Santa Rally officially underway as we wind down 2019, it is fairly standard to see the likes of AMZN begin to catch a strong bid. We have been long Amazon...

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25Dec1:53 pmEST

George Washington's Bold Christmas Gamble

We often discuss the risk management aspects about trading and markets, be it position sizing, stop-loss placement, selectivity of actual trades placed, broad market and psychological considerations, not to mention external factors like earnings, known risk events, and so forth. All of those elements can go a long way towards sustainability as...

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23Dec11:36 amEST

Holiday Trading Theory 12/23/19 {Video}

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19Dec12:00 pmEST

They Sure Fixed That Stitch

Stitch Fix, the online personal fashion stylist, has experienced quite a few highs and lows, literally and figuratively, since its late-2017 IPO. Two years later, there have been more lows than highs, especially since the stock topped out dramatically back on September 2018 and subsequently swooned and then went through an extended "dead money"...

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18Dec1:01 pmEST

The Digestif Phase of the Holiday Rally

A digestif is an alcoholic drink served after a meal, intended to aid in the digestion of food.  In light of the FDX 10% selloff to reinforce just how bearish of a chart it is on intermediate-term timeframes the rest of the market could have easily used it as an excuse for a broad-based pullback. Instead, we have more of a mixed consolidation...

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17Dec12:04 pmEST

Peloton Pressing (and Pedaling) Forward

The declaration by Citron Research last week that Peloton was only a $5 stock masquerading as a momentum stock in the $30s served as a gut check for the recent IPO. Peloton initially sold off, as we often see initially after Citron vocally declares a bold short thesis via social media.  We always want to see how well or poorly a hot momentum...

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16Dec6:24 pmEST

Stock Market Recap 12/16/19 {Video}

The following video is a brief, condensed version of the Stock Market Recap which I present each evening to members of Market Chess Subscription Services. In the longer version, I offer tons of actionable trade ideas, educational content, and in-depth objective analysis across all markets. If you enjoy my videos and blog posts, then please...

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16Dec2:22 pmEST

Slow and Steady...Until it is Not

Part of the Tesla bull thesis I laid out last Monday in this blog post centered around the long-term TSLA chart, updated below on the monthly timeframe. Considering how volatile of a stock, company, and CEO Tesla has surrounding the news flow and rumors (founded or not), it is rather remarkable that the long-term view has remain relatively...

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12Dec11:36 amEST

Grandma Bear Got Run Over By a Reindeer and a Trade War Tweet

Another round of renewed optimism for an imminent "big deal" with China seems to have coincided with a nice pop in the broad market this morning not long after the opening bell rang.  While quite a few software stocks continue to lag, semiconductors are still seeking to offset a chunk of that damage. Micron, with earnings under a week away, is...

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