MarketChess

Showing articles 111 - 120 (6025 total)

17Aug11:16 amEST

Summer 2022: When Looming Risks Were Miscalculated

It is my deep conviction that we will look back on this summer as one where the market was burying its collective head in the sand at the imminent and and longer-term risks facing the world economy. First and foremost the imminent Fed dovish pivot is nonsense. As soft as Powell has been the past the CPI is still historically high and not...

16Aug5:26 pmEST

Stock Market Recap 08/16/22 {Video}

The following video is a brief, condensed version of the Stock Market Recap which I present each evening to members of Market Chess Subscription Services. In the longer version, I offer tons of actionable trade ideas, educational content, and in-depth objective analysis across all markets. If you enjoy my videos and blog posts, then please...

16Aug10:56 amEST

Inflation Grim Reaper is Coming For You

Look, I get it.  Perhaps just as much as anyone else I miss the days where we could head to the gas pump and get a full tank of gas and chuckling about how reasonable the final price was. And then head on over to the grocery store--even a high end one like Whole Foods--to pick up some meat and fish, and other goodies, also at a reasonable price...

15Aug3:45 pmEST

China and Russia Wouldn't Really Escalate Into WW3, Right...Right?

I am no geopolitical expert. However, I do know that history and human nature of the current circumstances and the amount of time which has passed since a full-blown global conflict between super powers suggest that we may be due.  And with Russia and China clearly teaming up against the West we would be wise not to brush it off as an...

15Aug10:48 amEST

Shake, Rattle, But Hasn't Rolled

I lost track trying to keep count of how many nasty shakeouts we have seen in the energy complex this summer. The current one this morning is in regards to China slowdown fears coupled with an Iran supply boost. However, neither of those news items are anything new as the market has known about them for quite some time. Interestingly, these...

14Aug10:32 amEST

Weekend Overview and Analysis 08/14/22 {Video}

The following video is a brief, condensed version of the full-length Weekend Video Strategy Session which I present each weekend to members of Market Chess Subscription Services. In the longer version, I offer tons of actionable trade ideas, educational content, and in-depth objective analysis across all markets.  Please click here  for more...

12Aug10:53 amEST

Oh My!

I will be the first to admit that the bull run in Costco went much higher than I could have anticipated, as Americans relentless flocked to buy in bulk and enjoy food court hot dogs. Personally, I despise shopping at COST as I go to great lengths to avoid crowds in general--I would much rather grocery shop first thing in the morning or right...

11Aug11:07 amEST

Sneaky Peak Inflation

This sure is a strange version of "peak inflation," with rates yawning off the cool(er than expected) CPI yesterday and then outright spiking (as TLT sells off, below on the daily chart) today on the cool PPI print.  My view headed into 2022, as per a video I emailed to VIP Members over the holiday (and have since posted on this website a few...

10Aug3:44 pmEST

P.S. The Market is Now Fighting the Fed

I do not expect this VIX dip under 20 to hold for very long, as The Fed remains tightening while the market is filled with tons of hope that inflation is dead and ZIRP/QE will be back in a jiffy.  Bear market slide down a slope of hope. And now we clearly have that slope in place into the teeth of this rally in equities. While bulls will...

10Aug10:57 amEST

Getting High on the CPI

A slightly cooler CPI, but still a whopping 8.5%, is seeing Wall Street fervently cheer via higher stock prices this morning. In fact, the S&P 500 Index is lingering just below the widely-watched 4200 level, clearly a spot worth watching the rest of summer as we close in on a declining 200-day simple moving average on that index and virtually...

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