Steam it Up

31May10:51 amEST

Check the Forecast Before Any More Bookings

Booking Holdings (BKNG), below on the daily chart, actually printed new all-time highs just two weeks ago. Since then, as you can see, the stock has headed straight downhill. Formerly Priceline.com, Booking has clearly been a monster winner since 2009 as one of the poster children for a QE/ZIRP world, and then the "stimmies" of the pandemic...

30May10:48 amEST

The Same Battlefield Formation

Surprise, surprise. Chips and NVDA are leading the charge higher, while small caps, retail and China names (KWEB ETF, e.g.) are all red as I write this. We have profiled these divergences quite a bit lately. And I recognize that tech bulls are simply responding with a, "So, what?" view to the whole deal. But my view that the move in NVDA and...

28May11:09 amEST

Weekend Overview and Analysis 05/28/23 {Video}

The following video is a brief, condensed version of the full-length Weekend Video Strategy Session which I present each weekend to members of Market Chess Subscription Services. In the longer version, I offer tons of actionable trade ideas, educational content, and in-depth objective analysis across all markets. Please click here for more...

25May10:37 amEST

Where There's Smoke, There's...Divergences

Another day, another session of glaring divergences which bulls are clearly mocking due to shares of NVDA launching a rocket to the moon and trading about 25% higher as I write this. Still, small caps in the IWM ETF are down by nearly 1% right now after shedding 1% yesterday, and rates and the Dollar continue to push higher yet. High yield and...

24May11:09 amEST

When Pride Still Mattered

Back when pride still mattered even the most cutthroat of politicians would be willing to strike a bipartisan deal on something like the debt ceiling headed into a somber, flag waving holiday like Memorial Day weekend. But times are different now. And I have seen very few people even remark about trying to get a deal done lest we spoil the...

23May12:26 pmEST

The United States of Credit {Video}

In the following video we analyze the weakness in MasterCard (MA) and Visa (V) today and what it means overall both for those stocks and the market and economy at-large.

22May1:28 pmEST

It's a Free Country, Brother

Last year I penned a blog post where I wrote that Starbucks had substantial downside. Clearly, that was wrong as the rally in 2023 as SBUX opened the year at $100.56 and went as high as $115.48 on May 1st. However, viewing the updated quarterly chart, below, as the great liquidity drain from markets has seen various long-term charts extend up...

21May10:05 amEST

Weekend Overview and Analysis 05/21/23 {Video}

The following video is a brief, condensed version of the full-length Weekend Video Strategy Session which I present each weekend to members of Market Chess Subscription Services. In the longer version, I offer tons of actionable trade ideas, educational content, and in-depth objective analysis across all markets. Please click here for more...

19May3:12 pmEST

Just When No One Believes in Them Anymore...

Just when no one believes in reversal candlesticks anymore, to the point of not only failing to care enough to mock them (and bears) but outright display apathy to them, we have big, bad, Alphabet with its AI kick sporting a glaring bearish reversal candle today after a steep rally poking above its upper daily chart Bollinger Band (below). All...

19May11:28 amEST

Steam it Up

No fancy explanations here (more full analysis with Members). No over-analysis. Simply put, my call is volatility has bottomed for the rest of Q2 and possible into Q3. With vol having been crushed this much so far in 2023 headed into bearish seasonality and a ton of risk events/headwinds, the table is finally (finally!) set for asymmetrical...