It's a High Stakes Poker Game

21Sep4:22 pmEST

Stock Market Recap 09/21/22 {Video}

The following video is a brief, condensed version of the Stock Market Recap which I present each evening to members of Market Chess Subscription Services. In the longer version, I offer tons of actionable trade ideas, educational content, and in-depth objective analysis across all markets. If you enjoy my videos and blog posts, then please...

21Sep10:50 amEST

Human Nature Repeats for a Reason

It was not too long ago that market players (newcomers and surprisingly a ton of veterans, too) were proclaiming a new era where "stonks only go up," (sic) mostly due to The Fed, fiscal stimuli, and a plethora of retail participation speculating on easily accessibly apps and platforms taking on tons of risk via margin. Currently, a chunk of...

20Sep3:28 pmEST

What if None of it Has Been Priced In?

Back in early 2020, as Coronavirus headlines swirled around the world, U.S. stocks totally ignored them well into February. It became a common trope that it was all priced in, as clearly the market was well aware of the headlines and the spread of Corona to many countries besides China (Italy e.g.). Of course, a few weeks later the market...

20Sep10:14 amEST

A New Regime Means ARKK is a Dead Duck

The above chart, courtesy of Jeff Weniger, illustrates the regime change already well underway with value stocks outperforming growth after the prior extended bull run for growth. In hindsight, with rates so low for so long growth essentially had open season to run higher and higher. But as always in markets, it comes time to pay the piper....

19Sep11:12 amEST

You'll Get Over It, Baby

Many moons ago I was sitting at a limit hold 'em poker table at the Harrah's Casino in the French Quarter, down in New Orleans. An elderly, frail man with a trachea voice box was gambling it up and playing every single hand, the hallmark of a reckless long-term losing player in poker. Of course, anything can happen on any given night in poker,...

18Sep10:01 amEST

Weekend Overview and Analysis 09/18/22 {Video}

The following video is a brief, condensed version of the full-length Weekend Video Strategy Session which I present each weekend to members of Market Chess Subscription Services. In the longer version, I offer tons of actionable trade ideas, educational content, and in-depth objective analysis across all markets. Please click here for more...

16Sep10:44 amEST

Sentiment Analysis for Bear Markets 09/16/22 {Video}

In the following video, we discuss key points about analyzing sentiment data in the current market.

15Sep4:27 pmEST

Stock Market Recap 09/15/22 {Video}

The following video is a brief, condensed version of the Stock Market Recap which I present each evening to members of Market Chess Subscription Services. In the longer version, I offer tons of actionable trade ideas, educational content, and in-depth objective analysis across all markets. If you enjoy my videos and blog posts, then please...

15Sep11:09 amEST

If You're Bullish Here, Just Have a Look at Microsoft

With a market cap still over $1.8 trillion (with a T!) as I write this, Microsoft clearly remains one of the most epic winners from the QE/ZIRP era, as fund managers and retail alike constantly piled into the name and equated it to one of the safest financial assets on Planet Earth. On the second chart, below, of the multi-year quarterly...

14Sep10:37 amEST

It's a High Stakes Poker Game

And your opponents just gave away valuable information. The following exchange between Cathie Wood and Elon Musk on Twitter this week should shed light on just how important low rates are for their business models, be it the high growth holdings in ARKK or Tesla and its sky high PE ratio. This is a concept we have discussed at length with...