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07Jan12:19 pmEST

Historical Bear Market Analysis 01/07/23 {Video}

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06Jan11:33 amEST

This is Not a Return to Decadence

A funny thing about folks getting a taste of the good life, to speak, in markets since March 2020 (and even at various intervals since 2009) is that they will seemingly do anything to go back to the go-go-days, even if it means completely distorting reality. To put it crudely, you might argue it is not unlike a drug fiend willing to do anything...

05Jan3:18 pmEST

It's Tough to Look and Not Touch

One of the most counter-intuitive aspects about speculation is the notion of laying off the action for various intervals. After all, who really travels to the casino to not gamble? Well, I suppose some folks do. But not the warriors in the arena most of us are--Mixing it up regularly in global markets and putting ourselves to the test.  In...

05Jan10:31 amEST

Running Those Buy Programs Into the Ground

A thrust lower at the open on the major indices saw the S&P 500 almost tag the big, round 3,800 level precisely, as well as the QQQ ETF lingering near key $260 support.  Right on cue, however, we saw a slew of buy programs in some large names, particularly AAPL.  This was a common feature of the QE/ZIRP bull market era, where buy programs would...

04Jan3:40 pmEST

Powell Hunkers Down for Winter

Stocks are mostly meandering into the final hour of trading today, as bulls try to hold green from earlier. Although the Dow just flipped back red as I write this, plenty of stocks are struggling to stay afloat.  The Fed Minutes released earlier this afternoon certainly added some pizazz to what was an already-wide range session. Of course, we...

04Jan11:08 amEST

Reddit in Reverse! Wheels in Motion

It may seem too easy to dismiss the WallStreetBets Reddit Group as being a bunch of whippersnappers who caught lightning in a bottle about two years ago with the various meme stock squeezes in GME and AMC, especially.  However, I would urge you to take a few moments to read through a popular recent post on the forum here , where a kind of...

03Jan2:38 pmEST

Real Talk for the New Year

While from far perfect, we hit some major issues correctly in 2022. That said, I find it rather uncouth to constantly harp on one's good calls, especially when anyone with half a brain knows that speculation is a fine mess full of constant blunders--The key is to mitigate the risk and take professional measures to refocus.  In addition, I would...

03Jan9:57 amEST

No Need to Make a Production Out of It!

The "New Year, New Me!" mantra seemed to have hit Wall Street this morning, with bulls celebrating a gap up in the futures and at the opening bell. While we are still technically in the "Santa Rally" holiday period, as it typically takes up to a week most years to get everyone back at their desks off the break, I remain vigilant to respect the...

30Dec12:32 pmEST

Another Year in the Books; Be Proud

While those chock full of insecurities, hubris, and cheap braggadocio will constantly try to remind you that they are always winning big, the reality is that the seasoned speculator understands and respects just how challenging it can be to merely survive year-in, year-out in this business. Believe me when I tell you that I have some seem of...

29Dec11:27 amEST

There's Always Hope

As we wind down the final two sessions of 2022, bulls are finding some reason for hope in what has otherwise been a dreadful December. Stocks are squeezing on typical low volume for this holiday week, with the lowly oversold Nasdaq up about 2.4% as I write this.  The rally may have some legs into the long New Year's weekend, especially...

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