MarketChess

Showing articles 471 - 480 (6618 total)

24Mar11:08 amEST

That's the Story of Bifurcation

bifurcation noun bi·​fur·​ca·​tion ˌbī-(ˌ)fər-ˈkā-shən 1 the point or area at which something divides into two branches or parts : the point at which bifurcating occurs 2 the state of being divided into two branches or parts : the act of bifurcating Stocks continue to operate in a bifurcating world, with the likes of NFLX green...

23Mar3:03 pmEST

Tough Markets Don't Last; Tough Traders Do

In late-2008-early-2009 I can honestly say I expect the violent, random price swings we saw because we had already crashed in October 2008 and I thus expected tons of "aftershocks" from a broken market trying to eventually heal itself. This first few months of 2023, however, feels much more like the lingering slush of liquidity from the...

23Mar10:34 amEST

Winter or Spring for Oil?

The calendar may have flipped to springtime, but with respect to crude oil's recent descending triangle bearish breakdown (seen below on USO ETF daily chart, which we previously highlighted in real-time both here and with Members) the issue is whether it is still just the beginning of winter for oil or not.  $62/$63 was our key breakdown level,...

21Mar3:22 pmEST

The Dow: Invert the Problem, and Pattern

“Invert, always invert: Turn a situation or problem upside down. Look at it backward. What happens if all our plans go wrong? -Charlie Munger In front of the most uncertain FOMC's in quite some time tomorrow, insofar as what The Fed will actually do and say, or choose not to do and say, as well as the updated dot plots, equity bulls are...

21Mar10:14 amEST

Rates Should (Still) Be Headed Much Higher

*U.S. FEBRUARY EXISTING HOME SALES SOAR +14.5% TO 4.58 MILLION; EST. +5.0 TO 4.19M; PREV. 4.00M The above red-hot data which just hit the tape reinforces just how menacing inflation is this regime, despite how many bond bulls continues to harp on the banks and what they perceive to be a looming dovish Fed tomorrow and beyond.  Even though the...

20Mar10:32 amEST

Even Swiss Bankers Have Lost Their Mystique

Swiss bankers, once regarded with a ton of mystique and for having a certain gravitas internationally, made headlines for the wrong reasons this weekend given the shotgun wedding deal between UBS and troubled CS, all while The Swiss National Bank backstopping. We also had the developed economy central banks around the world, including The Fed...

19Mar1:45 pmEST

Weekend Overview and Analysis 03/19/23 {Video}

The following video is a brief, condensed version of the full-length Weekend Video Strategy Session which I present each weekend to members of Market Chess Subscription Services. In the longer version, I offer tons of actionable trade ideas, educational content, and in-depth objective analysis across all markets.  Please click here  for more...

17Mar10:51 amEST

Kissing the Blarney Stone Chart Pattern

Today is not only Saint Patrick's Day, of course, but also options expiration for the month and quarter. This "OpEx" is occurring in front of the Fed Meeting next Wednesday, which is sure to be a high stakes affair. In addition, banks like CS and FRC remain in dire straits with any number of weekend risk scenarios for both sides of the trade. ...

16Mar10:53 amEST

We Didn't Go to Stock Market Hell

...we went to Purgatory, my friend!  Depending on your positioning, timeframe, bias, and temperament, it may very well seem like this stock market has gone to Dante's Hell.  However, the reality is that an objective look at the major averages mostly suggests Purgatory for now--The Dow, S&P, and small caps are all below their 200-day moving...

15Mar9:38 amEST

The Medium is the Message

The prophetic Canadian philosopher Marshall McLuhan's famous phrase, “The medium is the message,” suggests that the medium through which we choose to communicate holds as much, if not more, value than the message itself.  Considering McLuhan died the same year as I was born (1980), he was way ahead of his time with his foresight about the world...

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