MarketChess

Showing articles 451 - 460 (6633 total)

09May9:50 amEST

Back in the Saddle

Seeing as the S&P 500 is trading pretty much exactly where it was one year ago at this time, it occurred to me that this period may very well be referred to as, "The Great Drain." So what is being drained? Brokerage accounts? Mental and emotional capital? Careers? Precious time on Earth? Perhaps all of those. However, I am specifically...

03May6:36 pmEST

Taking a Break After the Death of My Mother

Early one Saturday morning about a week after last Labor Day, September 2022, my mother called me and asked if I wanted to go down to Seven Presidents Oceanfront Park in Long Branch, New Jersey with her. I had other plans that day, but something told me to break them and go with her down the shore. And so I did. It was a glorious...

03May10:46 amEST

Enough Georgetown Cocktail Parties, Jerome

I know it is a tough world out there, Jay Powell. Everyone from Bill Ackman, hiding his ruthlessness behind a perfect facial exfoliation, to CEOs, long-only investors, economists, among others, are pressuring the esteemed Fed Chair to pause from hiking rates later today at the FOMC around 2pm EST. Beyond that, many are calling for Powell to...

02May12:50 pmEST

Evidence of My Conviction

I continue to view the current overall market structure as being one of the rare moments to have deeply held conviction that equities will eventually resolve sharply lower this year. And although I have had my fair share of stop-outs and miscalculations earlier this year insofar as the endless bids underneath the indices, I still see the lack...

01May11:22 amEST

Pre-Fed Pause with a Splash of NVIDIA

NVDA strength is masking an awful lot of red in tech-land this morning, although that is nothing new with this narrow market. The larger issue is whether the market is waiting totally on the Fed, come Wednesday afternoon with the FOMC. We also have AAPL earnings Thursday before the jobs report Friday to kick off the new month with a bang,...

28Apr1:33 pmEST

Dress Those Windows

Even with tech showing some relative weakness thanks to AMZN and SNAP selling after earnings, the reality is that this market is giving that all-too-familiar levitation dance into the end of month.  Indeed, it may seem like April went by fast but either way today marks the final trading day of the month which means w could easily be seeing...

27Apr10:14 amEST

Facebook Face/Off

We have META (formerly Facebook) and other large cap techs leading the Nasdaq higher early on, while chips are soundly red and the likes of ARKK lag behind. Regarding META itself, I see $250 just above spot price to see if we have the makings of a new uptrend or, instead, the final pop before a new leg down commences.  Overall, my sense is that...

26Apr12:22 pmEST

Bring it in for the Real Thing

To dovetail with the Microsoft earnings rally, shares of AMD MU and NVDA are leading a relief rally for the suddenly-lagging semis. I had scaled part of a SOXS bearish ETF trade with Members earlier this week but am now debating adding back to it given this bounce.  On the updated SMH hourly chart, below, the semiconductor sector ETF is getting...

25Apr11:36 amEST

Out with the New; In with the Old

One of our Members noted, on the back of the UPS earnings wreck, the gnarly looking bearish rising wedge breakdown in the IYT, ETF for the transports at-large, seen below, should not be taken lightly.  I realize we supposedly live in a new world where gunslinging speculators feel like all the old warning signs like Dow Theory (whereby...

24Apr12:42 pmEST

Nothing Like a Speculative Lull to Test Your Resolve

The small caps churning below the 200-day moving average, seen on the IWM ETF daily chart, below, yet above $170 multi-year support, as price grinds seemingly to a sideways halt, perfectly illustrates the sort of near-term market environment we are dealing with.  It is times like these that test your mental and emotional toughness as a...

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