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12Jul3:38 pmEST

I'm Sorry I Ruined Your Peak Inflation Party

The trend is still up in rates this year, despite how many calls I am seeing for peak inflation already having hit and the inevitability of rates cratering back down.  Thus, headed into a CPI print tomorrow morning where it seems like folks have become far more concerned about a recession than higher rates, I almost feel contrarian in thinking...

12Jul9:55 amEST

Suddenly a Hitter's BallPark for a Defensive Play

With a modest PE ratio, solid dividend, iconic assortment of brands, and now one of the best technical setups in the XLP ETF (consumer staples stocks) if not the entire market (daily chart, below), The Molson Coors Beverage Company (TAP) is an intriguing name with earnings not until the end of the month. You can see price threatening an upside...

11Jul10:44 amEST

On the Straight and Narrow

One thing is for sure: This market has done an excellent job of keeping virtually all speculators on the straight and narrow and pretty much the opposite of brimming with the sort of cockiness we saw off the pandemic lows. No, gone are the days of constant rocket ship emoji and incessant talk about various crypto coins and growth stocks mooning...

10Jul10:46 amEST

Weekend Overview and Analysis 07/10/22 {Video}

The following video is a brief, condensed version of the full-length Weekend Video Strategy Session which I present each weekend to members of Market Chess Subscription Services. In the longer version, I offer tons of actionable trade ideas, educational content, and in-depth objective analysis across all markets.  Please click here  for more...

08Jul11:03 amEST

The Next Play May Be an Absurd Gambit

This morning's upside reversal seems to have caught bears a bit more shell-shocked than some of the recent rallies we have seen. For starters, we had a barrage of bad news overnight, be it the Abe assassination (raising global tensions), TWTR GME UPST all shellacked, and then the strong jobs report this morning sending rates higher.  If bears...

07Jul10:52 amEST

The Most Overlooked Headline of the Summer

Just yesterday, the European Parliament backed EU rules labeling investments in gas and nuclear power plants as climate-friendly. In other words, nuclear is becoming less stigmatized as the energy crisis in Europe reaches full throttle.  In my view, this makes for one of the most overlooked headlines in a summer chock full of them.  For the...

06Jul10:12 amEST

Working with a Thin Margin of Error

Biotechs are still mostly working into a mixed tape this morning, as the market likely awaits the Fed Minutes at 2pm EST to gain insight into The Fed's thinking about looming rate hikes and the pace of them.  ARQT and IONS, respectively below on their updated daily timeframes, are two high quality charts we have been tracking closely with...

05Jul3:45 pmEST

Got My Toes in the Water, Corny Country Music in the Sand

Although I cannot claim Zac Brown Band is my type of country music (check out Colt Ford [below] or Danny Boone instead), I do indeed also have some toes in the water now just like one of their top songs. With the rally in growth stocks holding deep into the afternoon, it appears that the crush in oil may be enough until the middle of the month...

05Jul10:52 amEST

Lots of Horsemen Out There

Despite a sizable thrust down on the indices at the open we now have a situation with glaring relative strength for those paying attention, as we strive to do with Members consistently through all types of markets.  Thus, although this market is far from what I would describe as healthy and thriving all the way around for bulls, seeing the...

03Jul1:24 pmEST

The Panic of 1907

The Panic of 1907 was a six-week stretch of runs on banks in New York City and other American cities in October and early November of 1907. It was triggered by a failed speculation that caused the bankruptcy of two brokerage firms. But the shock that set in motion the events to create the Panic was the earthquake in San Francisco in 1906. The...

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