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21Jun3:41 pmEST

Context for the Rest of the Week

ARKK, what with its abundance of growth stocks (namely bios) housed in Cathie Wood's flagship ETF, likely serves as the premier market tell for the rest of this week. With Fed Chair Powell's speech tomorrow and Thursday, bears will try to undo today's rally while bulls will bet on a continuation of the squeeze. The reason why ARKK is a good...

21Jun10:35 amEST

Attack and Retreat, Attack and Retreat

It appears we are still in the middle phase of the bear market, where many think the worst is over (this cycle, inflation and the dump in growth stocks) and it is easy to talk oneself into a major bear market bottom with the spike down and reversal in crypto over the long weekend. You may recall, however, that we saw similar "the worst is over"...

17Jun11:15 amEST

A Possible "Home Run" Trade Idea

  Back on December 27th, 2021, I sent out the following video in an email to VIP Members inside Market Chess Subscription Services. In the VIP service, we focus on long-term investing plays and strategies, as well as the occasional special situation like the one I outlined below for Treasuries.    At the time of this video, TLT was trading at...

16Jun3:11 pmEST

Filling Major Gaps Below 06/16/22 {Video}

If you enjoy my videos and blog posts, then please click here for more details about joining Market Chess Subscription Services for plenty of other features, as well. Also, be sure to check out recent, verified Testimonials about the service by clicking here Enjoy the video, and enjoy your evening. 

16Jun9:58 amEST

Reminder: Markets Will Be Closed on Monday

Markets will be closed this coming Monday for the full session as we observe a recent addition to the rare, select group of stock market holidays: Juneteenth (it falls on a Sunday this year, technically, so markets will observe it on Monday).  Now, from a market context it is important to note two things about the holiday. First, weekly options...

15Jun4:34 pmEST

Stock Market Recap 06/15/22 {Video}

The following video is a brief, condensed version of the Stock Market Recap which I present each evening to members of Market Chess Subscription Services. In the longer version, I offer tons of actionable trade ideas, educational content, and in-depth objective analysis across all markets. If you enjoy my videos and blog posts, then please...

15Jun11:03 amEST

This is the Business We've Chosen

It seems foolish to spend days awaiting the decisions and nuanced, confused rhetoric of a bunch of academic bureaucrats who are trying to solve the very serious problems they had a major hand in creating in the first place.   But this is the business we've chosen.  Unless and until we arrive at a moment when markets across several asset classes...

14Jun10:56 amEST

Dead Ahead of The Fed

I am not expecting too much from equities today as we await the FOMC tomorrow afternoon at 2pm EST. Yesterday late in the session the Wall Street Journal's Fed reporter (practically a tradition on Wall Street for The Fed to have a "leaker" at the WSJ) floated the idea that The Fed will raise by 75 basis points tomorrow due to sticky high...

13Jun3:25 pmEST

At Least One Major Cruise Line Will File Bankruptcy in 2022

I think Carnival (CCL, below on the monthly chart) looks the most vulnerable here, as it is closer to its pandemic (and multi-decade lows) than NCLH and RCL are. However, all of the major cruise lines are trading poorly and are over-levered, debt-ridden consumer plays which have benefitted from the Stimmies' sweet spot and cabin fever desire to...

13Jun10:21 amEST

Multiple Black Swans

The crypto calamity is rightly getting tons of attention this morning, especially since it dovetails with the selloff in equities. However, the spike higher yet in rates ought not to be overlooked, as well as the issues Japan seems to be facing in its bond market.  Turning to our own Treasuries, however, we can see the updated TLT daily chart,...

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