Trading Ideas
Showing articles 181 - 200 (5507 total)
15Apr11:25 amEST
Don't Lead Me On
While I am certainly no stranger to the variance (volatility) associated with all forms of speculation and gambling, the sheer amount of gaps-up-and-then-fight-to-fade-all-day we have seen in this market rivals anything I have ever seen. Over the weekend I went back in time and studied the price action from the 1970s on as many timeframes as I...
14Apr11:32 amEST
Weekend Overview and Analysis 04/14/24 {Video}
The following video is a brief, condensed version of the full-length Weekend Video Strategy Session which I present each weekend to members of Market Chess Subscription Services. In the longer version, I offer tons of actionable trade ideas, educational content, and in-depth objective analysis across all markets. Please click here for more...
10Apr12:35 pmEST
Inflation Whiplash
Another hot CPI report this morning, with emphasis on gasoline and shelter prices, has doves running for cover as rates on the 10-Year push above 4.5%. An earlier dip-buy attempt in equities seemed initially convincing but has since sputtered. Overall, inflation looks to be staging another leg higher for a kind of whiplash effect off what many...
04Apr3:16 pmEST
Changes In Latitudes, Changes In Attitudes
After being one of the undisputed monsters off the pre-Halloween low, AMD is now displaying serious signs of changes in latitudes and changes in price attitudes . More importantly, the relevant issues for us is whether the large semiconductor play is functioning as a leader to the downside now, too, after clearly being one of the leaders to...
03Apr1:47 pmEST
Looking for a 5x4 By Memorial Day
Powell gave remarks at Stanford University earlier today where he is still sticking to his guns that we are merely seeing a "bumpy" path down to 2% target inflation. In other words, the recent data are not swaying him off his rate cut plan for later this year, just yet. Powell and his cohorts at The Fed have been awfully stubborn on this...
02Apr12:25 pmEST
It's How Civilizations Fall
The SOFR is an acronym which stands for, "Secured Overnight Financing Rate," and is the replacement to LIBOR (which stood for "London Interbank Offer Rate"). LIBOR was deemed too prone to manipulation (try to hold your laughter) and thus the SOFR calculation was tweaked a bit from the LIBOR. But, essentially, SOFR acts like LIBOR did, as...
01Apr11:12 amEST
April Bond Fool in the Rain
I almost never headline a blog post with a chart. Typically, I use a photo relevant to the title or body of the post. However, and this certainly is no April Fools' Day joke, TBT (ultra-SHORT ETF for Treasuries, essentially a bet on higher rates by being long TBT) has been the mainstay in my portfolio for over fifteen months now with Members....
31Mar11:26 amEST
Weekend Overview and Analysis 03/31/24 {Video}
The following video is a brief, condensed version of the full-length Weekend Video Strategy Session which I present each weekend to members of Market Chess Subscription Services. In the longer version, I offer tons of actionable trade ideas, educational content, and in-depth objective analysis across all markets. Please click here for more...
28Mar11:06 amEST
Silver is Risen
Quietly a strong end to the holiday week for gold, silver, and their miners. Granted, tomorrow's PCE report with the cash markets closed will be a major event, especially once Easter dinner is done and Sunday night futures open into the new month and quarter on Monday. However, recall during the 1970s that gold and metals/miners performed the...
26Mar3:50 pmEST
Look What Washed Ashore
Another super slow day out there (mostly, save DJT and RDDT type action). But note the ARM lockup expiry and weakness is impacting the semis into the bell negatively. The SOX did not make a new high since the beginning of the month, diverging from the Nasdaq last week. And now we have a diamond top washing ashore with no fanfare because, after...
24Mar10:50 amEST
Weekend Overview and Analysis 03/24/24 {Video}
The following video is a brief, condensed version of the full-length Weekend Video Strategy Session which I present each weekend to members of Market Chess Subscription Services. In the longer version, I offer tons of actionable trade ideas, educational content, and in-depth objective analysis across all markets. Please click here for more...
21Mar2:37 pmEST
Metals and the Bond Market Can Stop This March Madness
Sure, we can discuss oil. But from my perch the bond market, shooting rates higher, and the precious metals with their derivative miners, are the two main forces which can push back on The Fed's likely mistake of focusing on rate cuts and ignoring the possibility of inflation igniting for another wave higher. On the junior silver miner ETF...
20Mar3:31 pmEST
Jerome Powell Starring as Backdraft Ronald
"What would you like to do to the currency and confidence in inflation, Jerome?" Burn it Gold, silver, copper, and the miners saw a surge as Powell opened his presser with incredibly dovish comments even though some of the Fed voting members dot plots initially seemed a touch more hawkish than expected. On the silver ETF monthly chart,...
19Mar12:50 pmEST
The Two Most Generous Bartenders in History
If nothing else, Jerome Powell and Janet Yellen may very well wind up going down in history as the two most generous bartenders, proving ample liquidity to markets at each and every juncture for a period of years. You may be thinking that the current rally in equities, with the broad market refusing to pull back even 2% for nearly one hundred...
17Mar10:52 amEST
Weekend Overview and Analysis 03/17/24 {Video}
The following video is a brief, condensed version of the full-length Weekend Video Strategy Session which I present each weekend to members of Market Chess Subscription Services. In the longer version, I offer tons of actionable trade ideas, educational content, and in-depth objective analysis across all markets. Please click here for more...
14Mar10:58 amEST
Two Charts Which Make Sense Amid the Quagmire
Even with the semiconductors soundly red this morning we have seen buyers generally out and about, not sweating the stagflationary PPI and retail sales prints this morning too much. Microsoft is higher by more than 2.5% which, at its $3.1 trillion market cap size, will keep the overall index selling tame unless it reverses. However, the small...
13Mar12:06 pmEST
Finally Feels Like the 1970s Again
The last time we saw a prolonged period of entrenched inflation in this country was during the 1970s. During that period, gold and oil stocks were the two top performers, all the while the "Nifty Fifty" high-flying growth stocks of that era finally saw their collective bubble pop. Indeed, the "stagflation" period of slowing growth and sticky...
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About
“chessNwine” has been a popular trader and financial blogger since 2009. His work has appeared in The Wall Street Journal Online Edition, Yahoo Finance, TheStreet.com, Josh Brown’s The Reformed Broker blog, AbnormalReturns.com, Barry Ritholtz’s The Big Picture blog, and the “Suggested” stream on Stocktwits.com.
