Trading Ideas

Showing articles 181 - 200 (5318 total)

02Jul7:57 amEST

Weekend Overview and Analysis 07/02/23 {Video}

The following video is a brief, condensed version of the full-length Weekend Video Strategy Session which I present each weekend to members of Market Chess Subscription Services. In the longer version, I offer tons of actionable trade ideas, educational content, and in-depth objective analysis across all markets.  Please click here  for more...

29Jun10:43 amEST

Higher for Longer Until "Something" Breaks

With stronger than expected GDP, uniform passing of stress tests by banks, and weekly jobless claims posting the biggest drop in twenty months, bulls seem to be in the "have our cake and eat it, too" mindset.  However, in economics there is always a price to be paid.  Here, rates must go higher, even as Powell and his band of merry printers at...

28Jun1:04 pmEST

It All Comes Down to Apple, Buffett

How is this for drama? With CNBC on an "Apple $3 trillion market cap alert," the stock is trading at roughy thirty times forward earnings (and a PEG of 4) and has been a one-way melt-up machine in 2023. The AAPL monthly chart, below, shows one of the most glaring bearish RSI divergences to price (bottom pane) you will ever see for a stock this...

25Jun10:02 amEST

Weekend Overview and Analysis 06/25/23 {Video}

The following video is a brief, condensed version of the full-length Weekend Video Strategy Session which I present each weekend to members of Market Chess Subscription Services. In the longer version, I offer tons of actionable trade ideas, educational content, and in-depth objective analysis across all markets.  Please click here  for more...

23Jun12:22 pmEST

Crypto Bros Strike Back!

Bitcoin and several crypto-related stocks are the clear winners today amid a soft tape, as hot money seeks to rotate to keep the party going in risk assets while many tech/growth names cool off.  Even most bulls admit that some of the melt-up names of late, like Carvana (below on the daily chart, updated), need to digest recent gains. However,...

22Jun12:24 pmEST

Unsinkable Rates

You may have noticed that Jerome Powell is out talking like a tough guy this week in front of Congress. Naturally, he is doing so after failing to raise rates last week and essentially backstopping wealthy depositors for regional banks back in March, essentially eliminating a fat left tail risk to markets for the time being which, in turn,...

21Jun11:30 amEST

The Last Gasp of Complacency

If you traded during the summer of 2011 then you know there was a moment right before all heck broke loose and we had a bonfire market swoon for a while there that stocks went down and so too did the VIX. Up until that point, we had a narrow market with capital congregated in a few obvious names but many weak sectors overall (sound familiar?)....

18Jun4:49 pmEST

Weekend Overview and Analysis 06/18/23 {Video}

The following video is a brief, condensed version of the full-length Weekend Video Strategy Session which I present each weekend to members of Market Chess Subscription Services. In the longer version, I offer tons of actionable trade ideas, educational content, and in-depth objective analysis across all markets.  Please click here  for more...

15Jun1:30 pmEST

No Excuses, But No Crying Either

Being way too early equals being wrong in this lonely (at times) business. But each time I have reassessed my view on equities I arrive at the same conclusion--The current rally is in its final inning before we head into the post-June options expiration period where overall liquidity faces several bearish headwinds throughout the summer into...

14Jun4:46 pmEST

Stock Market Recap 06/14/23 {Video}

The following video is a brief, condensed version of the Stock Market Recap which I present each evening to members of Market Chess Subscription Services. In the longer version, I offer tons of actionable trade ideas, educational content, and in-depth objective analysis across all markets. If you enjoy my videos and blog posts, then please...

13Jun1:10 pmEST

Why Was I Born Handsome Instead of Rich?

Here it is: Daily melt-ups and a one-way tape amid bad news, good news, neutral news altogether. Sentiment assumes a bull market is here and new highs are inevitable, in the bag and a forgone conclusion. If you wanted to be a contrarian and look for a primo, type A short setup, this would be it. I, myself, certainly did not expect The Fed to...

12Jun3:10 pmEST

Soft or Hard Landing?

I know what equities are saying today and of late--clearly in favor of a soft landing, goldilocks scenarios where inflation recedes hard but the economy stays intact--but what of crude oil? Even with the OPEC+ seemingly bullish news in recent weeks to cut supply we have black gold selling off hard today, as seen on the USO ETF daily chart,...

11Jun11:36 amEST

Weekend Overview and Analysis 06/11/23 {Video}

The following video is a brief, condensed version of the full-length Weekend Video Strategy Session which I present each weekend to members of Market Chess Subscription Services. In the longer version, I offer tons of actionable trade ideas, educational content, and in-depth objective analysis across all markets.  Please click here  for more...

09Jun11:54 amEST

Pause?! You're Talking Pause?

The consensus among economists on The Street headed into next week's FOMC is now that The Fed will pause its rate hiking regime and see how things shake out, hoping for the best of a "soft landing." Meanwhile, back in the real world, gasoline prices have gone virtually straight up since the beginning of May (see UGA daily chart, below, the ETF...

08Jun11:11 amEST

Bears Are Taking Their Summer Shots Here

It is still, for the most part, a week of consolidation so far on the major averages in front of what I expect to be a more action-packed week next week (CPI, FOMC, OpEx, etc.).  In the meantime, do not overlook the following three Dow components' weakness, DIS NKE TRV, as all three, on their respective daily chart, below, are currently bear...

06Jun12:36 pmEST

The Final Stage of Bifurcation

Small caps, China names, regional banks, biotechs, and especially retail stocks (the latter, below, on the XRT sector ETF daily chart) are all leading the action higher so far today amid flattish action on the senior indices. What those leading groups today have in common, of course, is that they have been glaring laggards for a good while now...

05Jun2:04 pmEST

An Apple Event a Day Keeps Reality Away

We have WWDC kicking off today, and shares of AAPL are in focus again and grabbing most of the headlines, even amid the OPEC cut and oil trying to get a little something going from beaten-down conditions.  With a forward PE north of 27, especially considering the firm's sheer size, Apple is clearly not a value stock despite Mr. Buffett being...

04Jun9:40 amEST

Weekend Overview and Analysis 06/04/23 {Video}

The following video is a brief, condensed version of the full-length Weekend Video Strategy Session which I present each weekend to members of Market Chess Subscription Services. In the longer version, I offer tons of actionable trade ideas, educational content, and in-depth objective analysis across all markets.  Please click here  for more...

02Jun10:26 amEST

The Pause That Wouldn't Refresh Anything

A strong jobs report for May is sending the Dow and a bunch of sectors which have been lagging higher with rates and the Dollar. Meanwhile, tech, biotech, ARKK, and chips are mostly red as bulls continue to look for a "pause" in the rate hikes from The Fed later this month at the June 14th FOMC. Bulls also argue, alternatively, that even if...

01Jun11:29 amEST

It's Only Degeneracy When Charlie Munger Says it Is

I must say that I find it a bit rich (richer than a Dairy Queen Blizzard, indeed) to see a slew of articles in recent months with an, "aw, shucks" vibe about Charlie Munger's "Alibaba Mistake and how to learn from it!"  In particular, Munger has been a sharp-tongued--unforgiving and even downright--critic of most things speculative, be it...

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