Trading Ideas

Showing articles 101 - 120 (5301 total)

08Oct11:15 amEST

Weekend Overview and Analysis 10/08/23 {Video}

The following video is a brief, condensed version of the full-length Weekend Video Strategy Session which I present each weekend to members of Market Chess Subscription Services. In the longer version, I offer tons of actionable trade ideas, educational content, and in-depth objective analysis across all markets.  Please click here  for more...

06Oct11:23 amEST

Holding it All Up

My bearish bet on the bond market continues to work well, as I trimmed some more of a TBT long position which I have actually held for most of this year with Members.  That said, the persistent and seemingly omnipresent bid in equities is out in full force, once again, with stocks flipping green as I write this despite the red-hot inflationary...

05Oct10:52 amEST

It is a New Battlefield; Adjust Accordingly

The team with the longest winning streak in New Jersey high school football currently (33 games and counting) is Caldwell High School, a program with which I am quite familiar. The Chiefs, located in West Caldwell, have been a powerhouse for a school of their size--especially a public one--for many, many decades, with several state...

02Oct11:50 amEST

What's the Old Saying? Credit Leads

High yield corporate bonds (HYG ETF, first daily chart, below) are sporting fresh breakdowns this morning, not to mention junk bonds and investment grade corporates (LQD ETF on second chart). Simply put, credit is starting the month and quarter with a fairly resounding bearish tone amid higher rates.  This action stands in stark contrast to the...

01Oct11:50 amEST

Weekend Overview and Analysis 10/01/23 {Video}

The following video is a brief, condensed version of the full-length Weekend Video Strategy Session which I present each weekend to members of Market Chess Subscription Services. In the longer version, I offer tons of actionable trade ideas, educational content, and in-depth objective analysis across all markets.  Please click here  for more...

29Sep10:31 amEST

Let Me Tell You a Couple of Three Things

Dow component and retail titan, Nike, below on the daily chart, is gapping up hard after earnings last evening. And just like with Disney, another Dow component, which gapped up in August after earnings, it would not shock be if all of the bullish cheers will soon be silenced again.  Back on August 10th, Disney gapped up on earnings to a chorus...

28Sep11:10 amEST

Change the Seasons, But Not My View

With TBT, the ultra-short ETF essentially betting hard against TLT and betting on higher rates, poking above $40 this morning I decided to right-size my position in long TBT wither Members down to a regular, 2% size (meaning 2% of my dedicated Market Chess educational portfolio)--My cost basis on the overweight position was $28.85 and I have...

26Sep11:36 amEST

No Consolidation Lasts Forever

With the month and quarter coming to an end this Friday by the closing bell, have a look if you would, please, at the month and quarterly charts, respectively below, for the IWM (ETF for the small caps in the Russell 2000 Index).  You are taking about uniquely extended periods of consolidation, to the point where many are assuming--rather...

25Sep11:16 amEST

You See Bottoms; I See Complacency

Stocks are slowly dripping lower with modest intraday bounce attempts, for now at least. However, the noteworthy action this morning is that both rates and the Dollar are spiking.  I have not been shy at all in voicing my view that, ultimately, a new bond secular bear market is underway and that will be the undoing of the great equity chase...

24Sep11:04 amEST

Weekend Overview and Analysis 09/24/23 {Video}

The following video is a brief, condensed version of the full-length Weekend Video Strategy Session which I present each weekend to members of Market Chess Subscription Services. In the longer version, I offer tons of actionable trade ideas, educational content, and in-depth objective analysis across all markets.  Please click here  for more...

22Sep1:35 pmEST

Call Me Kat; Call Me Dead Kitty Kat Bounce

I suppose I could cherry-pick the weakness in NFLX TSLA or even the banks.  But to my eye, as one of our Members has been tracking closely, the persistent weakness in airlines after previously being adored by bulls as a sign of the vibrant economy seems telling.  On the updated JETS weekly chart, below, the mid-July reversal we highlighted in...

21Sep10:29 amEST

No Bottom for Alibaba

It is rather noticeable that China stocks received tons of cheers by momentum traders into each rally over the last few quarters, only to see said rallies frizzle out each and every time.  What that tells me, gauging the BABA monthly chart, below, in addition to the FXI KWEB ETFs, is that China stocks have not bottomed despite their steep...

20Sep1:12 pmEST

What if it is the Pause Which Refreshes the Bond Selloff?

As we know, Jerome Powell is more than capable of being bullied into a corner. Case in point: Back in 2018 Powell was a brand new Fed Chair. He came out swinging with rate hikes and generally adopting a hard money approach, especially compared to the Bernanke and Yellen years. Then-President Trump ultimately made a point to publicly turn the...

19Sep1:47 pmEST

It Worked, And No One Cares

Lo and behold, the Home Depot bearish head and shoulders top, spanning mid-to-late summer as highlighted on the HD daily chart, below, triggered in a powerful way lower over the past few sessions.  And no one cared. Bulls assume support will hold, and long-term players dismiss this move as merely noise.  But given HD is not only in the Dow but...

17Sep10:41 amEST

Weekend Overview and Analysis 09/17/23 {Video}

The following video is a brief, condensed version of the full-length Weekend Video Strategy Session which I present each weekend to members of Market Chess Subscription Services. In the longer version, I offer tons of actionable trade ideas, educational content, and in-depth objective analysis across all markets.  Please click here  for more...

14Sep10:49 amEST

Europe Needs a New Marshall Plan

With the ECB raising rates again this morning and also lowering growth forecasts, the Euro is selling off against the Dollar.  On the Euro/Dollar monthly chart, below, I see no evidence of a long-term bottom in the face of a strong multi-year downtrend.  In fact, risk looks much lower here into 2024, as the European Union in general could...

12Sep10:57 amEST

Let's Find the Real Apex Predator

As we head into what are highly likely to be the pivotal events for the rest of 2023, namely the CPI tomorrow, then the FOMC next week, it is worth noting that both the High Yield Corporate Bond and Junk Bond ETFs, respectively below on their weekly timeframes, are at their apexes after roughly sixteen month consolidations each. From periods of...

11Sep11:35 amEST

Opening Game Moves

The overall price action early on smacks of a kind of opening game you would expect in a championship chess match, with both sides trying to jockey for just the right position headed into the CPI this Wednesday, followed by the FOMC the week after.  Specifically, NVDA and semiconductors are selling off, while TSLA is surging higher to the tune...

10Sep11:34 amEST

Weekend Overview and Analysis 09/10/23 {Video}

The following video is a brief, condensed version of the full-length Weekend Video Strategy Session which I present each weekend to members of Market Chess Subscription Services. In the longer version, I offer tons of actionable trade ideas, educational content, and in-depth objective analysis across all markets.  Please click here  for more...

06Sep11:01 amEST

Americans Will Never Give Up Their Guns

But they appear to have stopped buying news ones, for the time being.  You may or may not recall the early-pandemic phenomenon where many took their "stimmy checks" to the gun shop, gun store, or sporting goods store (or your vendor of choice) to purchase the hot weapon(s) they have always desired.  Of course, what this was doing, in effect,...

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