Trading Ideas

03Apr6:06 amEST

Weekend Overview and Analysis 04/03/22 {Video}

The following video is a brief, condensed version of the full-length Weekend Video Strategy Session which I present each weekend to members of Market Chess Subscription Services. In the longer version, I offer tons of actionable trade ideas, educational content, and in-depth objective analysis across all markets.  Please click here  for more...

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01Apr10:54 amEST

Yield Curve Inversion: Don't Make a Production Out of It

I see the yield curve inversion-as-recession-indicator made the front page of the DrudgeReport.com, as well as being on the tip of everyone's tongue in the financial media, not to mention social finance (for more discussion what inversion actually is, see here ).  From the standpoint of being a speculator and/or investor, it is worth noting...

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31Mar3:18 pmEST

Looking Out to April and the Second Quarter

Although sentiment has clearly turned far more sanguine on many parts of equities in recent weeks given the relief rally, looking at a major chart like Dow component, Boeing (BA), below on its daily timeframe, I see sparse evidence of any meaningful bottom. No, I see a clear downtrend with a bounce up to a declining 50-day simple moving average...

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31Mar10:47 amEST

Strategic Petrified Reserve

If commodity bears and deflationistas alike were correct in their diagnosis of the macroeconomic picture, then I would surmise the news flow of late would be wildly beneficial to their thesis in terms of reactions in equities.  Specifically, housing stocks continue to get whacked off mortgage rates hitting multi-year highs, while oil initially...

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30Mar4:16 pmEST

Stock Market Recap 03/30/22 {Video}

The following video is a brief, condensed version of the Stock Market Recap which I present each evening to members of Market Chess Subscription Services. In the longer version, I offer tons of actionable trade ideas, educational content, and in-depth objective analysis across all markets. If you enjoy my videos and blog posts, then please...

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30Mar10:39 amEST

The Deflationary Circus Left Town

One way to think about the current debate between inflation versus deflationistas is in terms of which side is currently fighting the dominant trend. While it is true that rates have generally been trending much lower for four decades, it is also true that commodities have distinguished themselves from most tech and growth stocks in recent...

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29Mar10:38 amEST

Hope for Peace Leads to Hidden Dips

While AAPL gaps up to mark, thus far, its eleventh consecutive green session amid the rally in growth stocks and tech, virtually all commodities and commodity stocks got pounded off the open on more hopeful headlines of an imminent, peaceful resolution in Ukraine.  But in reality there has been no such resolution yet--We have seen the wishful...

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28Mar10:22 amEST

Reset the Scene Before the Next Take

After a mini reversal upside last Friday, Treasuries (seen below, on TLT ETF daily chart) are enjoying some relief this morning as yields come in a bit amid the sharp selloff in crude oil. The Nasdaq initially fed off these developments, on top of the TSLA news angling for a dividend and eventual stock split, up 1% as crypto plays surged, too. ...

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27Mar9:00 amEST

Weekend Overview and Analysis 03/27/22 {Video}

The following video is a brief, condensed version of the full-length Weekend Video Strategy Session which I present each weekend to members of Market Chess Subscription Services. In the longer version, I offer tons of actionable trade ideas, educational content, and in-depth objective analysis across all markets.  Please click here  for more...

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25Mar10:45 amEST

Beach Hopping in Brazil

Quietly, commodity-rich Brazil has been acting much better of late. And, quietly, their Central Bank has taken actions to battle inflation, unlike our own Fed which thinks it can use mere words to fight off the nasty scourge of inflation. As I write this, Brazil's key interest rate is in the double digits. Now compare that to Jay Powell's...

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24Mar10:15 amEST

Big Nickel

With a straight face, answer me this: Did you really think the sort of monetary policies (and fiscal) we have seen since 2008/2009, let alone since March 2020, would not have wild unintended consequences?  Nickel futures experienced another price "limit up" on the London Metal Exchange after soaring over 250% over two trading sessions in...

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23Mar4:40 pmEST

Stock Market Recap 03/23/22 {Video}

The following video is a brief, condensed version of the Stock Market Recap which I present each evening to members of Market Chess Subscription Services. In the longer version, I offer tons of actionable trade ideas, educational content, and in-depth objective analysis across all markets. If you enjoy my videos and blog posts, then please...

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23Mar10:27 amEST

Shippers: I Like to Move it, Move It

As we noted a few weeks back , that oil and other commodities ain't gonna move themselves. And with oil back at it this morning with other commodities, we have the likes of Genco Shipping out of the gate hot. We are playing GNK with Members currently, and also have an eye on the beautiful Diana, seen on the DSX daily chart, below.  Other dry...

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22Mar3:08 pmEST

Don't Sleep on Solar 03/22/21 {Video}

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21Mar2:58 pmEST

Beware: A Squeeze ON The Fed

Beware a squeeze on The Fed! The Fed may not realize it yet, but after both Neel Kashkari's hawkish comments late-last week coupled with Powell's comments today acknowledging in so many words how dire inflation truly is, bond bears and commodity bulls may have free reign to squeeze The Fed until they blink and are forced to raise rates at a...

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21Mar10:32 amEST

Me See Commodity Bull; Me Buy Commodity Stocks

While plenty of discussion has been spent the last few days over whether the Nasdaq and a plethora of former high-flying growth stocks have finally bottomed, the better question, as we noted with Members, was whether commodity stocks would continue their already-bullish uptrends. Indeed, the bird's eye view of the market tells us that Nasdaq...

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20Mar11:53 amEST

Weekend Overview and Analysis 03/20/22 {Video}

The following video is a brief, condensed version of the full-length Weekend Video Strategy Session which I present each weekend to members of Market Chess Subscription Services. In the longer version, I offer tons of actionable trade ideas, educational content, and in-depth objective analysis across all markets.  Please click here  for more...

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18Mar12:03 pmEST

A Cliffhanger Either Way

Regardless of how this quad witching options expiration Friday finishes up today it is highly likely that the market will leave us with a dramatic cliffhanger headed into next week. Specifically, the S&P 500 Index, as seen below on its ETF's daily chart, is concluding the last few days of sharp rallying right near its 50-day simple moving...

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17Mar4:27 pmEST

Stock Market Recap 03/17/22 {Video}

The following video is a brief, condensed version of the Stock Market Recap which I present each evening to members of Market Chess Subscription Services. In the longer version, I offer tons of actionable trade ideas, educational content, and in-depth objective analysis across all markets. If you enjoy my videos and blog posts, then please...

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17Mar11:05 amEST

Enemies at the Gate

The triple-threat of a pandemic and subsequent supply chain disruptions, a war overseas in a commodity-centric part of Europe  with the distinct possibility to escalate into a broader global conflict, combined with a Federal Reserve consciously way behind the inflation curve and essentially betting on its own "hope," as a strategy mind you,...

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