Trading Ideas

Showing articles 121 - 140 (5301 total)

05Sep10:20 amEST

Follow the Script

Bulls are looking for markets to follow the "higher low" script, meaning any dips will be relatively shallow and ultimately bought up nicely into the end of calendar year to perhaps challenge all-time highs on the major indices.  Bears are expecting the recent late-August snapback rally to amount to a "lower high," setting up a house of horrors...

04Sep10:53 amEST

Holiday Overview and Analysis 09/04/23 {Video}

The following video is a brief, condensed version of the full-length Weekend Video Strategy Session which I present each weekend to members of Market Chess Subscription Services. In the longer version, I offer tons of actionable trade ideas, educational content, and in-depth objective analysis across all markets.  Please click here  for more...

01Sep9:11 amEST

Morning Prep 09/01/23 {Video}

The following video is an example of the type of daily Morning Prep videos which I present each morning to Members of Market Chess Subscription Services to help prepare for each trading day.  If you enjoy my videos and blog posts, then please click here for more details about joining Market Chess Subscription Services for plenty of other...

31Aug4:56 pmEST

Stock Market Recap 08/31/23 {Video}

The following video is a brief, condensed version of the Stock Market Recap which I present each evening to members of Market Chess Subscription Services. In the longer version, I offer tons of actionable trade ideas, educational content, and in-depth objective analysis across all markets. If you enjoy my videos and blog posts, then please...

30Aug3:11 pmEST

Something's Gotta Give

Over the last two years Okta, which reports this evening and is shown on the monthly chart, below, has beaten both top and bottom line estimates 100% (!) of the time.  Although I have always thought that earnings are the epitome of a roulette wheel gamble, insofar as the immediate reaction, I suspect something has got to give, as LeAnn Rimes...

27Aug9:22 amEST

Weekend Overview and Analysis 08/27/23 {Video}

The following video is a brief, condensed version of the full-length Weekend Video Strategy Session which I present each weekend to members of Market Chess Subscription Services. In the longer version, I offer tons of actionable trade ideas, educational content, and in-depth objective analysis across all markets.  Please click here  for more...

25Aug11:22 amEST

We'll Be Slugging it Out in Japan This Weekend

Slugging it out in Jackson Hole, more precisely.  With Powell having spoke this morning, and ECB President Christine Lagarde speaking later today out in Wyoming, do not sleep on new Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda's remarks tomorrow.  Granted, it is on a Saturday. However, the weakness in the Japanese Yen currency continues to be a theme, and...

22Aug1:40 pmEST

It's Still Early in the New Value Trap Era

-Value traps are investments that are trading at such low levels and present as buying opportunities for investors but are actually misleading. -For a value trap, the low price is often accompanied by extended periods of low multiples as well. -A value trap is often a poor investment: the low price and low multiples mean the company is...

21Aug12:12 pmEST

I am Just the Messenger

Do you know which stocks and sectors are not buying the bunch of baloney that NVDA and TSLA re trying to tell you today? Regional banks and REITs mostly. But also China stocks (again), and small caps in general as rates on the 10-Year Note challenge their prior October 2022 highs.  In a rather pathetic (in the true sense of the word, pathos)...

20Aug9:00 amEST

Weekend Overview and Analysis 08/20/23 {Video}

The following video is a brief, condensed version of the full-length Weekend Video Strategy Session which I present each weekend to members of Market Chess Subscription Services. In the longer version, I offer tons of actionable trade ideas, educational content, and in-depth objective analysis across all markets.  Please click here  for more...

18Aug2:26 pmEST

Too Many Blokes Looking to Buy

You may have noticed even fairly hardcore bears expect a bounce right here, as the natural inclination after quarters of constant melt-ups and snapback rallies can certainly distort expectations for a more normalized market.  However, my overall bearish view remains intact and I see no reason to become infatuated with possible very near-term...

17Aug1:26 pmEST

Consider Where the Real Pain Is

Just take a step back and consider, objectively, how many seasoned Wall Street veterans are bullish on bonds for any number of reasons. First and foremost, there are those who believe an imminent credit event is upon us, and therefore there will be a scramble into Treasuries as The Fed inevitably cuts rates to cope with the crisis. Others see...

16Aug11:49 amEST

We've Got Ourselves Some Twin Peaks

The much ballyhooed "July breakout" in stocks saw one of the most ostentatious displays of arrogance, hubris, and outright obnoxious behavior I can recall from bulls since early-2021. But even back then, early-2021 was much more about pressing for one more good "YOLO" trade as opposed to last month where the rallying cry centered around...

15Aug11:13 amEST

Easy There on Chasing Old Warren This Time Around

Headlines are swirling with the latest disclosure from Berkshire  that Buffett has bought into three homebuilders: DHI LEN and NVR. There are a few ways to look at these new bets, with perhaps them being hedges for the home remodeling businesses already owns which have been slowing date of late. After all, if new supply of homes is the issue,...

13Aug10:46 amEST

Weekend Overview and Analysis 08/13/23 {Video}

The following video is a brief, condensed version of the full-length Weekend Video Strategy Session which I present each weekend to members of Market Chess Subscription Services. In the longer version, I offer tons of actionable trade ideas, educational content, and in-depth objective analysis across all markets.  Please click here  for more...

11Aug1:20 pmEST

I Feel Sorry for Your Thesis

A clip of Jerome Powell giving testimony  on Capitol Hill has been making the rounds on Twitter of late. In the clip, he responds to a, "why does The Fed have a 2% inflation target, anyway?" question unimpressively, to say the least. If nothing else, it drives home the point about just how clueless these Central Bankers truly are and how...

10Aug1:24 pmEST

Summer Always Turns Into Hurricane Season

We live in a lower trust society nowadays, and perhaps that means a lower trust market, too. In fact, I am quite sure that is the case, where every bit of data, such as this morning's CPI print, and every market machination is met with a skeptical eye of conspiracy by a not-insignificant group of market players and pundits.  Such is life,...

09Aug11:28 amEST

I Wasn't Joking About the South Sea Bubble

I have been doing this for a long time now; Writing about markets in full public view on a daily basis for nearly fifteen years.  So when I pen a piece like I did here on July 31st of this year,  comparing the long-term parabolic charts of AAPL NVDA to the Dutch Tulip Mania, the South Sea Bubble, John Law and the Mississippi Stock Bubble, and...

08Aug11:07 amEST

We're Moving to a Higher Plane

Dare I say, the era of low volatility is over.  With volatility sellers as cocky as I have ever seen them, to dovetail mega cap tech bulls, the stage is set for a nasty volatility unwind higher. To be sure, this entire process has taken much longer than I ever anticipated. However, nothing has changed the underlying picture which is why I...

07Aug2:10 pmEST

Natty Gas: Maybe the Nine Millionth Time Will Be the Charm

Anyone who has traded natural gas over the years, be it the commodity futures contract themselves or the various ETFs, knows how uniquely tricky it can be insofar as various head-fakes and traps.  However, with the energy complex catching a strong bid during the middle portion of this summer, namely crude and gasoline futures, it is certainly...

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