Trading Ideas

Showing articles 161 - 180 (4830 total)

03Feb10:57 amEST

An Important Message Lurking in the Shadows

Between the FB earnings calamity, not to mention SPOT, plus a broad market gap lower on the back of hawkish comments out of the ECB it can be rather easy to overlook the move higher in rates this morning. After all, I am sure most equities-driven traders probably just assumed that Treasuries would receive a safe haven bid into the teeth of a...

02Feb11:36 amEST

Bounces Rolled Up and Smashed

By my work, every single component of the ARKK ETF is in the red as I write this. While that may seem as though I am picking on Ms. Wood, quite the contrary--As recently as yesterday, I was playing one of her beloved holdings on the long side for a quick bounce: DKNG.  However, as we noted with Members, the DKNG play was a quick date only, not...

01Feb11:06 amEST

Exxon, Risk On!

Exxon earnings this morning look to have lit a fuse (a much less damaging one than the Standard Oil fire in 1900 in my original hometown of Bayonne, New Jersey, pictured above) under the entire oil sector, with big XOM up more than 6% as I write this.  For a while now, we have focused our long watchlist ideas with Members on energy and some...

31Jan4:26 pmEST

Stock Market Recap 01/31/22 {Video}

The following video is a brief, condensed version of the Stock Market Recap which I present each evening to members of Market Chess Subscription Services. In the longer version, I offer tons of actionable trade ideas, educational content, and in-depth objective analysis across all markets. If you enjoy my videos and blog posts, then please...

31Jan10:31 amEST

A Trashy Rally

The absolute worst sectors and stocks in recent moths are leading this morning bounce, with the likes of ARKK, HOOD, biotechs, and software all soundly outpacing just about everything else. When I moved to 100% cash in my trading account last Friday, I suspected we could bounce from oversold levels in the trashiest parts of the tape, albeit...

29Jan7:01 pmEST

Weekend Overview and Analysis 01/30/22 {Video}

The following video is a brief, condensed version of the full-length Weekend Video Strategy Session which I present each weekend to members of Market Chess Subscription Services. In the longer version, I offer tons of actionable trade ideas, educational content, and in-depth objective analysis across all markets.  Please click here  for more...

28Jan11:11 amEST

A Break in the Battle

For the first time in the good while I find my trading account back in 100% cash, as the lack of resolution this week among countless reversals both overnight and during the session render this market uniquely treacherous. Simply put, the lack of conviction by both bulls, for a relief rally, and by bears, to force the issue with another leg...

27Jan3:02 pmEST

Dollar Doing The Fed's Dirty Work for Now

Seeing as The Fed has not actually tightened yet, the U.S. Dollar surging of late is arguably a situation where it is doing the heavy lifting for The Fed. There have been rumblings of this sort of mechanism in markets for a while now, where central bankers need only talk about the idea of tightening rather than actually tighten.  But this...

27Jan11:13 amEST

Allow Me to Sober Up This Drunk Market

It is worth reiterating that violent price swings, wild indecision, overnight and intraday reversals, are all part and parcel of a corrective or even bear market. They are not the exception but, instead, the rule. And are to be expected. TSLA, for example, is now down 7% as I write this after having sold off last night, then went green, etc.....

26Jan4:20 pmEST

Stock Market Recap 01/26/22 {Video}

The following video is a brief, condensed version of the Stock Market Recap which I present each evening to members of Market Chess Subscription Services. In the longer version, I offer tons of actionable trade ideas, educational content, and in-depth objective analysis across all markets. If you enjoy my videos and blog posts, then please...

26Jan10:32 amEST

Biding Time Before The Fed

A dramatic upside reversal in shares of Microsoft last evening during their guidance seems to have spawned a squeeze higher in the broad market spilling over into this morning's price action.  As noted here and with Members, I took off the reminder of my swing shorts earlier this week and, beyond a few inter-market plays, have mostly been...

25Jan3:13 pmEST

Looking for Mr. Goodbar...And Daddy Powell

I do not profess to have a crystal ball, nor all the answers. But I do have an opinion about the changing market regime.  Headed into the FOMC tomorrow afternoon, stocks recovered from sharp losses for the second session in a row as we work through the final hour. It is often said that bull markets climb a wall of worry, so to speak, while bear...

25Jan10:08 amEST

Just Call Me Stan Beeman

In this day and age of internet memes, it is rather easy to get lulled into a state of complacency about real-life, legitimately dangerous issues facing the world. Thus, you would think that Vladimir Vladimirovich Putin were a cartoon character, riding bears through the Russian terrain in winter. Or, perhaps, he were a caricature of what...

24Jan3:24 pmEST

Big Blue as a Big Tell

Before we get to MSFT, then TSLA, and then AAPL earnings later this week, I want to draw your attention to old, stodgy, IBM, or "Big Blue" as it used to be known around Wall Street, which reports earnings tonight after the closing bell.  At this point in the stock and firm's life cycle, IBM is not a flashy growth stock. On the updated quarterly...

24Jan10:13 amEST

Rallies Jump Up to Get Beat Down

I covered up some more shorts into this morning's weakness, as discussed in my full strategy video yesterday (available for everyone this week, please see prior blog post).  However, with the market filling to hold the overnight bounce in the futures, followed by this morning's minor attempts so far, we are still at risk of a crash. Mind you, I...

21Jan10:22 amEST

Here's the Punchline: Tesla Hasn't Even Corrected Yet

Although it seems like the market is going down every day and simply must stop soon enough, leading to a spectacular short squeeze higher, the punchline may very well be that the likes of AAPL and TSLA, the latter below on its updated daily chart, are still nowhere close to testing their respective 200-day simple moving averages (yellow line on...

20Jan4:42 pmEST

Stock Market Recap 01/20/22 {Video}

The following video is a brief, condensed version of the Stock Market Recap which I present each evening to members of Market Chess Subscription Services. In the longer version, I offer tons of actionable trade ideas, educational content, and in-depth objective analysis across all markets. If you enjoy my videos and blog posts, then please...

20Jan10:10 amEST

Back to Sniper Mode...for Now

With ARKK up by nearly 5% off the open as I write this and a broad market fade scenario now, perhaps, a bit too obvious to actually happen, I took the opportunity with my SOXS long (the triple-bear semiconductor ETF) actually green earlier to lock in a gain there with Members. I also closed out a HD Short which I had held for a while, and took...

19Jan4:33 pmEST

Stock Market Recap 01/19/22 {Video}

The following video is a brief, condensed version of the Stock Market Recap which I present each evening to members of Market Chess Subscription Services. In the longer version, I offer tons of actionable trade ideas, educational content, and in-depth objective analysis across all markets. If you enjoy my videos and blog posts, then please...

19Jan10:24 amEST

Peek Your Head Over Your Peak Inflation Thesis

The slightest dip in rates in this morning, with TLT up a touch, led to a broad market bounce off the open. In and of itself, considering the context of monetary policy, macro, recent market action, this seems like evidence per se that correlations are running tightly which we often see in an ongoing corrective market.  Thus, as IWM flips red...

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