Trading Ideas

Showing articles 141 - 160 (5330 total)

21Sep10:29 amEST

No Bottom for Alibaba

It is rather noticeable that China stocks received tons of cheers by momentum traders into each rally over the last few quarters, only to see said rallies frizzle out each and every time.  What that tells me, gauging the BABA monthly chart, below, in addition to the FXI KWEB ETFs, is that China stocks have not bottomed despite their steep...

20Sep1:12 pmEST

What if it is the Pause Which Refreshes the Bond Selloff?

As we know, Jerome Powell is more than capable of being bullied into a corner. Case in point: Back in 2018 Powell was a brand new Fed Chair. He came out swinging with rate hikes and generally adopting a hard money approach, especially compared to the Bernanke and Yellen years. Then-President Trump ultimately made a point to publicly turn the...

19Sep1:47 pmEST

It Worked, And No One Cares

Lo and behold, the Home Depot bearish head and shoulders top, spanning mid-to-late summer as highlighted on the HD daily chart, below, triggered in a powerful way lower over the past few sessions.  And no one cared. Bulls assume support will hold, and long-term players dismiss this move as merely noise.  But given HD is not only in the Dow but...

17Sep10:41 amEST

Weekend Overview and Analysis 09/17/23 {Video}

The following video is a brief, condensed version of the full-length Weekend Video Strategy Session which I present each weekend to members of Market Chess Subscription Services. In the longer version, I offer tons of actionable trade ideas, educational content, and in-depth objective analysis across all markets.  Please click here  for more...

14Sep10:49 amEST

Europe Needs a New Marshall Plan

With the ECB raising rates again this morning and also lowering growth forecasts, the Euro is selling off against the Dollar.  On the Euro/Dollar monthly chart, below, I see no evidence of a long-term bottom in the face of a strong multi-year downtrend.  In fact, risk looks much lower here into 2024, as the European Union in general could...

12Sep10:57 amEST

Let's Find the Real Apex Predator

As we head into what are highly likely to be the pivotal events for the rest of 2023, namely the CPI tomorrow, then the FOMC next week, it is worth noting that both the High Yield Corporate Bond and Junk Bond ETFs, respectively below on their weekly timeframes, are at their apexes after roughly sixteen month consolidations each. From periods of...

11Sep11:35 amEST

Opening Game Moves

The overall price action early on smacks of a kind of opening game you would expect in a championship chess match, with both sides trying to jockey for just the right position headed into the CPI this Wednesday, followed by the FOMC the week after.  Specifically, NVDA and semiconductors are selling off, while TSLA is surging higher to the tune...

10Sep11:34 amEST

Weekend Overview and Analysis 09/10/23 {Video}

The following video is a brief, condensed version of the full-length Weekend Video Strategy Session which I present each weekend to members of Market Chess Subscription Services. In the longer version, I offer tons of actionable trade ideas, educational content, and in-depth objective analysis across all markets.  Please click here  for more...

06Sep11:01 amEST

Americans Will Never Give Up Their Guns

But they appear to have stopped buying news ones, for the time being.  You may or may not recall the early-pandemic phenomenon where many took their "stimmy checks" to the gun shop, gun store, or sporting goods store (or your vendor of choice) to purchase the hot weapon(s) they have always desired.  Of course, what this was doing, in effect,...

05Sep10:20 amEST

Follow the Script

Bulls are looking for markets to follow the "higher low" script, meaning any dips will be relatively shallow and ultimately bought up nicely into the end of calendar year to perhaps challenge all-time highs on the major indices.  Bears are expecting the recent late-August snapback rally to amount to a "lower high," setting up a house of horrors...

04Sep10:53 amEST

Holiday Overview and Analysis 09/04/23 {Video}

The following video is a brief, condensed version of the full-length Weekend Video Strategy Session which I present each weekend to members of Market Chess Subscription Services. In the longer version, I offer tons of actionable trade ideas, educational content, and in-depth objective analysis across all markets.  Please click here  for more...

01Sep9:11 amEST

Morning Prep 09/01/23 {Video}

The following video is an example of the type of daily Morning Prep videos which I present each morning to Members of Market Chess Subscription Services to help prepare for each trading day.  If you enjoy my videos and blog posts, then please click here for more details about joining Market Chess Subscription Services for plenty of other...

31Aug4:56 pmEST

Stock Market Recap 08/31/23 {Video}

The following video is a brief, condensed version of the Stock Market Recap which I present each evening to members of Market Chess Subscription Services. In the longer version, I offer tons of actionable trade ideas, educational content, and in-depth objective analysis across all markets. If you enjoy my videos and blog posts, then please...

30Aug3:11 pmEST

Something's Gotta Give

Over the last two years Okta, which reports this evening and is shown on the monthly chart, below, has beaten both top and bottom line estimates 100% (!) of the time.  Although I have always thought that earnings are the epitome of a roulette wheel gamble, insofar as the immediate reaction, I suspect something has got to give, as LeAnn Rimes...

27Aug9:22 amEST

Weekend Overview and Analysis 08/27/23 {Video}

The following video is a brief, condensed version of the full-length Weekend Video Strategy Session which I present each weekend to members of Market Chess Subscription Services. In the longer version, I offer tons of actionable trade ideas, educational content, and in-depth objective analysis across all markets.  Please click here  for more...

25Aug11:22 amEST

We'll Be Slugging it Out in Japan This Weekend

Slugging it out in Jackson Hole, more precisely.  With Powell having spoke this morning, and ECB President Christine Lagarde speaking later today out in Wyoming, do not sleep on new Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda's remarks tomorrow.  Granted, it is on a Saturday. However, the weakness in the Japanese Yen currency continues to be a theme, and...

22Aug1:40 pmEST

It's Still Early in the New Value Trap Era

-Value traps are investments that are trading at such low levels and present as buying opportunities for investors but are actually misleading. -For a value trap, the low price is often accompanied by extended periods of low multiples as well. -A value trap is often a poor investment: the low price and low multiples mean the company is...

21Aug12:12 pmEST

I am Just the Messenger

Do you know which stocks and sectors are not buying the bunch of baloney that NVDA and TSLA re trying to tell you today? Regional banks and REITs mostly. But also China stocks (again), and small caps in general as rates on the 10-Year Note challenge their prior October 2022 highs.  In a rather pathetic (in the true sense of the word, pathos)...

20Aug9:00 amEST

Weekend Overview and Analysis 08/20/23 {Video}

The following video is a brief, condensed version of the full-length Weekend Video Strategy Session which I present each weekend to members of Market Chess Subscription Services. In the longer version, I offer tons of actionable trade ideas, educational content, and in-depth objective analysis across all markets.  Please click here  for more...

18Aug2:26 pmEST

Too Many Blokes Looking to Buy

You may have noticed even fairly hardcore bears expect a bounce right here, as the natural inclination after quarters of constant melt-ups and snapback rallies can certainly distort expectations for a more normalized market.  However, my overall bearish view remains intact and I see no reason to become infatuated with possible very near-term...

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