Trading Ideas

Showing articles 81 - 100 (4972 total)

12Sep11:31 amEST

Cheers to a Sucker Rally

If you have followed work for more than a decade then you probably know that oftentimes I am of the mindset to grind through all types of markets, staying flexible. As Paul Tudor Jones once said, "At the end of the day, I am a slave to the tape and proud of it." While I certainly am not looking to eschew risk management I also happen to have...

11Sep8:38 amEST

Weekend Overview and Analysis 09/11/22 {Video}

The following video is a brief, condensed version of the full-length Weekend Video Strategy Session which I present each weekend to members of Market Chess Subscription Services. In the longer version, I offer tons of actionable trade ideas, educational content, and in-depth objective analysis across all markets.  Please click here  for more...

09Sep11:21 amEST

It's Never Easy, Baby

On the back of some badly beaten-down growth software plays enjoying sharp earnings bounces this namely, DOCU and ZS just last evening, bulls look to be closing out this holiday-shortened week on a high note. It seems like ages ago now, but way back on Tuesday as we came off the three day weekend it looked like a good shot for bears to press...

08Sep9:17 amEST

J-Pow Money Printer Go...Ahhh?

A chart making the rounds of late (chart posted below, via @sentimenttrader ) has been how over-hedged institutions appear to be leaning right now, as many on social media infer therefore that we are on the cusp of an imminent short squeeze higher of epic proportions.  If you have been following my work then clearly you know I am not of the...

07Sep10:44 amEST

Alternative Energy the Main Star

In front of an Apple event, more Fed speakers, then Powell tomorrow (although the WSJ seemed to make clear this morning that a 75 basis point rate hike is all but sealed), we have a modest bounce in equities underway. On the S&P 500 Index, the 3900 level looks to be the latest battleground area in full effect as we slowly but surely get...

04Sep9:48 amEST

Weekend Overview and Analysis 09/04/22 {Video}

The following video is a brief, condensed version of the full-length Weekend Video Strategy Session which I present each weekend to members of Market Chess Subscription Services. In the longer version, I offer tons of actionable trade ideas, educational content, and in-depth objective analysis across all markets.  Please click here  for more...

02Sep9:58 amEST

The Market Moves to Its Own Tune

Jazz is like wine. When it is new, it is only for the experts, but when it gets older, everybody wants it.  -Steve Lacy After a jobs report which was essentially inline with expectations, markets took the opportunity to follow-through a bit higher on yesterday afternoon's comeback rally. That said, we are well off the morning highs already...

01Sep9:24 amEST

Yes, the Bond Market Can Crash

    This is worth a re-post, especially in light of the summer rally in both stocks and Treasuries.   I am re-posting this not to "pile on" to the recent weakness in TLT (as rates go back up) but rather to reinforce my view that a bond market crash/swoon/substantial move lower from here as rates go higher is absolutely on the table if rates...

31Aug10:16 amEST

Would That Make You Love Uranium?!

After a spectacular week of high buy volume surges in the wake of bullish news out of Japan, one has to wonder if the uranium sector, as seen on the URA ETF daily chart, below, is gearing up for another move higher in September.  You can see the volume on the bottom pane of the chart, which adds credence to the price appreciation beyond mere...

30Aug10:48 amEST

Here's What Many Are Forgetting

Over the course of the summer rally I saw quite a few technically-oriented market players and pundits alike discuss various, for example, biotech and healthcare names putting in what they described as base bottoms. I dispute this view, clearly, as discussed below.  Even with recent market weakness, including this morning's abrupt downside...

29Aug3:45 pmEST

Hey, Zuck: You Want Some Elk, Brah?

Meta Founder and CEO Mark Zuckerberg's recent appearance  on Joe Rogan's incredibly popular podcast made tons of news due to Zuck's revelations about the Biden/Trump election.  However, I suspect the real reason for Zuck even choosing to go on as a guest in the first place centered much more around the need for Meta to rebuild its brand after...

28Aug9:32 amEST

Weekend Overview and Analysis 08/28/22 {Video}

The following video is a brief, condensed version of the full-length Weekend Video Strategy Session which I present each weekend to members of Market Chess Subscription Services. In the longer version, I offer tons of actionable trade ideas, educational content, and in-depth objective analysis across all markets.  Please click here  for more...

26Aug11:07 amEST

Hey, There He Is! There He Is!

We took a contrarian view on Powell headed into his Jackson Hole speech this morning, both here and with Members inside the service, as we expected him to come out with a far more hawkish tone than many expected.  And he delivered. True, he could have done an inter-meeting rate hike. And, true, he could have come out swinging with higher rate...

25Aug3:32 pmEST

The Market Sure Bought Lots of Rumors...

...and now the issue is if they sell the news. With Powell set to speak tomorrow morning out at Jackson Hole, markets are jubilant with optimism that he will continue to largely be a stock market softy, for all intents and purposes.  Specifically, even though he has tapered assets purchases and made some historically aggressive rate hikes the...

25Aug11:06 amEST

Inflation Reverses Things You Take for Granted

The good ol' American cup of Joe. A hot cup of java.  A cup of coffee is still relatively cheap in most places in America, provided that you are not dressing it up with tons of additions at a Starbucks or some hoity-toity restaurant, cafe, or hotel. Even then, coffee is still one of the remaining reasonably priced daily items for most Americans...

23Aug10:42 amEST

Beans, Beans, They're Good for Your Heart

Soybeans are busting up through a well-defined inverse bullish head and shoulders setup, highlighted on the commodity fund's daily chart, updated below. On that note, soft commodities as a group are breaking higher via the DBA ETF this morning, having perfectly held a backtest of their own collective inverse head and shoulders neck-line. Coffee...

20Aug9:03 amEST

Don't Fight the Last War!

In the following video we examine the current market structure relative to prior cycles.  Enjoy your summer weekend.  

18Aug11:00 amEST

I Wear a Parchment Paper Hat Instead of a Tinfoil One

Years ago a friend of mine enlisted in the National Guard. Not long after he called me up and the first thing out of his mouth was a general statement that anyone who believes in grand conspiracies is nuts--He thought the federal government was barely able to orchestrate a proper picnic. Of course I recognize that stands in stark contrast to...

17Aug3:49 pmEST

An Economic (Not Political) Parting Thought on Student Loans

The Education Department just cancelled about $4 billion in student loans , which applies to about 208,000 borrowers for students who attended the now-defunct ITT Technical Institute.  Now, I am not interested in getting into a political debate over the merits and cons of student loan forgiveness.  However, from an economic standpoint where,...

17Aug11:16 amEST

Summer 2022: When Looming Risks Were Miscalculated

It is my deep conviction that we will look back on this summer as one where the market was burying its collective head in the sand at the imminent and and longer-term risks facing the world economy. First and foremost the imminent Fed dovish pivot is nonsense. As soft as Powell has been the past the CPI is still historically high and not...

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