Trading Ideas

Showing articles 21 - 40 (5301 total)

05Feb11:26 amEST

We're Not Back Up Until This Happens

Of all the names composing the SMH, ETF for the semiconductors, the only names up more than 3% as I write this are ON and, of course, NVDA.  Most of the rest of the ETF names are either red or up less than 1%.  This is happening as the broad market sells off today, with the small caps and Dow clearly leading lower while the S&P and Nasdaq are...

04Feb10:24 amEST

Weekend Overview and Analysis 02/04/24 {Video}

The following video is a brief, condensed version of the full-length Weekend Video Strategy Session which I present each weekend to members of Market Chess Subscription Services. In the longer version, I offer tons of actionable trade ideas, educational content, and in-depth objective analysis across all markets.  Please click here  for more...

31Jan12:32 pmEST

It's Now the Offseason for Mister Softee

Despite how pronounced the Alphabet (GOOGL) weakness is today, as we zoom towards the big FOMC at 2pm EST, I actually find the Microsoft (MSFT, below on the daily chart) reversal to be of even more significance.  First and foremost, headed into earnings last evening MSFT was the largest publicly-traded firm at over $3 trillion in market cap,...

30Jan12:37 pmEST

Time for Chips to Finally Sober Up

Seeing as AMD earnings come out tonight alongside GOOGL and MSFT, it seems fairly easy to overlook the chip play on the eve of the FOMC.  However, AMD, trading with a cool forward PE of 44, is no small potato in the semiconductor space. The firm has indeed been one of the key supporting actors beyond NVDA instrumental in the sector's most epic...

29Jan12:27 pmEST

Emerging Markets: The Ultimate Mirage?

Over the weekend I saw some data that flows into emerging markets reached the highest level in quite some time, as investors likely see bargains relative to America in the likes of China. However, that has been a sexy thesis for a while now, one which never seemed to pan out as China stocks grew weaker and weaker, defying even the late, great...

28Jan10:20 amEST

Weekend Overview and Analysis 01/28/24 {Video}

The following video is a brief, condensed version of the full-length Weekend Video Strategy Session which I present each weekend to members of Market Chess Subscription Services. In the longer version, I offer tons of actionable trade ideas, educational content, and in-depth objective analysis across all markets.  Please click here  for more...

26Jan12:16 pmEST

All of a Sudden, Intel Matters Again

We are seeing the first real chink in the armor for the red-hot semiconductors today, as Intel and KLAC lead the selloff lower.  Next week will see a ton of monster leaders reporting earnings, headlined by AAPL the same day as the FOMC on Wednesday. So, you can be sure tons of event risk is ahead of us. Of course, given this market's recent...

25Jan1:51 pmEST

Tesla's Last Seduction

Shares of Tesla are down more than 12% as I write this. It truly is a sign of the times of what type of market beast we are dealing with when no one is surprised at all that the indices are green, even if off the morning highs. It was not too long ago when a move like this in TSLA would have clear broad ramifications, if only for a few days....

23Jan11:58 amEST

Robotic Stock for a Robotic Market

Given that Netflix reports tonight, then Tesla tomorrow evening, it is easy to overlook Intuitive Surgical (below, on the quarterly chart sporting a freight train uptrend since 2009, despite the 2020 hiccup) reporting tonight, as well.  ISRG trades at a forward PE of nearly fifty-eight as I write this, remarkably expensive and aligned with how...

21Jan11:01 amEST

Weekend Overview and Analysis 01/21/24 {Video}

The following video is a brief, condensed version of the full-length Weekend Video Strategy Session which I present each weekend to members of Market Chess Subscription Services. In the longer version, I offer tons of actionable trade ideas, educational content, and in-depth objective analysis across all markets.  Please click here  for more...

19Jan11:17 amEST

Too Much Money Chasing After Too Few Goods

It is tough to think of a more blinking red light about another surge higher in inflation than the fallout from the ongoing tensions in the Red Sea than the major supply disruptions, as seen on a recent CNBC.com headline , below.  On this options expiration Friday, stocks (especially tech, notably semiconductors, again) are ignoring any bad...

18Jan2:15 pmEST

Not Buying the AI Decadence

AMD reports earnings on January 29th, while NVDA reports out in February 28th. While I fully acknowledge the variance that earnings reports carry, I also view the action in AMD, especially, to be symptomatic of an "echo bubble" in chips based on the AI craze. We have seen as much in NVDA for a good while now.  But AMD recently has gone bananas...

17Jan11:39 amEST

Sorting Through Winter Battles

I was just forced to cut a gold miner long trade, as the (likely) threat of no imminent March rate cut seems to be pressuring gold more than I expected.  Of course, you know that I also am not expecting a rate cut, either, and have several other positions on to benefit from that, including an outright short on bonds as well as a bearish bet on...

16Jan11:13 amEST

Soft Landings Are for Loch Ness Monster Believers

My highest conviction view for 2024 remains that the now much-ballyhooed economic "soft landing" is in fact a mirage in the middle of the vast desert created by troubled monetary and fiscal policies coming home to roost, finally, after decades of can-kicking. While The Fed achieving that elusive soft landing, meaning inflation cools off...

15Jan10:19 amEST

Holiday Overview and Analysis 01/15/24 {Video}

The following video is a brief, condensed version of the full-length Weekend Video Strategy Session which I present each weekend to members of Market Chess Subscription Services. In the longer version, I offer tons of actionable trade ideas, educational content, and in-depth objective analysis across all markets.  Please click here  for more...

12Jan1:33 pmEST

Partying of the Red Sea

It may not be as biblical as the "parting of the Red Sea" by Moses, but some stocks are certainly partying due to the Red Sea tensions escalating today. Specifically with the U.S./British militaries striking back against  Iran-backed Yemen amid Red Sea tensions, we have uranium, oil tanker, and gold miner stocks out in front of a sluggish...

11Jan12:42 pmEST

Rate Cuts?! Rate Cuts?! I Just Hope We Can Get to 2%

This morning's hot CPI saw an initially muted reaction from stocks, followed by the expected dip-buy spot. This time around, however, the dip-buyers slipped up a bit as we have small caps leading the rest of the indices lower to the tune of 1.7% as I write this.  Without question, we saw immediate attempts from The Fed "whisperer," himself,...

10Jan11:04 amEST

Getting Spooky at Disney

In my weekend video for Members last Sunday I suggested that this was a "backloaded" week of events and headlines. Hence, stocks have mostly coasted up to this point, including this morning.  Overall, we have a mixed, meandering bounce going in equities this morning, as equities almost assuredly are waiting on the CPI (inflation reading)...

09Jan12:01 pmEST

Follow the Trail

One of the benefits of a commodity like natural gas coming out of the gate hot to start the new year is that so many new traders since the pandemic do not give a hoot, quite frankly, about anything other than options on growth stocks and crypto/NFTs.  Hence, when natty takes off, as it is again today, most will either gloss over it or even have...

08Jan11:24 amEST

Here's the Setup

Apple, as well as NVIDIA and the semiconductors at-large, is leading a tech relief rally so far this morning. We have a quintessential backloaded week of news and events, what with the CPI Thursday morning, then PPI on Friday alongside a plethora of large cap bank earnings to kick off a new season of reporting--Note that the likes of JPM have...

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