Trading Ideas
Showing articles 41 - 60 (5196 total)
30Jul11:58 amEST
Weekend Overview and Analysis 07/30/23 {Video}
The following video is a brief, condensed version of the full-length Weekend Video Strategy Session which I present each weekend to members of Market Chess Subscription Services. In the longer version, I offer tons of actionable trade ideas, educational content, and in-depth objective analysis across all markets. Please click here for more...
28Jul1:01 pmEST
Relentless History
The bid in equities certainly seems relentless and is likely historic on many fronts, as we have been noting. As an example, the Bank of Japan yield curve control semi-"tweak" overnight was taken n stride, at least for now. And CNN's Fear & greed Index its till stubbornly in "Extreme Greed" territory. However, if you have been following along...
27Jul12:31 pmEST
This Will Be the Spark
Putting to one side the omnipresent "Black Swan" risks of Japan's markets imploding, the Euro Zone going bust, China/Taiwan, North Korea, and of course Russian/Ukraine, the far more imminent risk as I see it is inflation surging back higher in the face of a Fed Chair staying stubbornly methodical and hellbent on not surprising markets. But...
26Jul3:23 pmEST
Even the Price of Milquetoast is Rising
milque·toast noun: milquetoast; plural noun: milquetoasts a timid or feeble person. adjective: milquetoast feeble, insipid, or bland. "a soppy, milquetoast composer" Origin 1930s: from the name of a cartoon character, Caspar Milquetoast, created by H. T. Webster in 1924. It is hard to imagine a Fed Chair more timid in his...
25Jul11:25 amEST
Slowly But Surely, Starting to Come Together
The indices may be telling a different story for now, but sectors like the airlines (ETF below on the weekly timeframe) are indicating that inflationary pressures alongside a softening consumer are finally showing some wear and tear. As you can see on JETS, the reversal we noted a few weeks ago after Delta's earnings continues to...
24Jul12:35 pmEST
A Midsummer Central Banker's Dream (or Nightmare)
The Italians call it, "Ferragosto," which is basically a public holiday for summer vacation in August. Other cultures around the world have similar traditions, especially in Europe. Here in America, most industries keep their noses to the grindstone, or at least they did. But the wizards of Wall Street are usually out on the Hamptons, Cape Cod,...
23Jul7:52 amEST
Weekend Overview and Analysis 07/23/23 {Video}
The following video is a brief, condensed version of the full-length Weekend Video Strategy Session which I present each weekend to members of Market Chess Subscription Services. In the longer version, I offer tons of actionable trade ideas, educational content, and in-depth objective analysis across all markets. Please click here for more...
21Jul2:09 pmEST
This Sentiment is No Joke
CNN Fear & Greed Index's (below, updated) rigorous methodology has pointed to stubborn "Extreme Greed" for over a month now with only very brief slippage down to "Greed" territory. For as long as I have been tracking this Index, this is easily one of the longest streaks in either extreme territory that I have seen. But of course that is not...
20Jul2:18 pmEST
It's Not Just Netflix and Tesla
The headlines will naturally gravitate towards last evening's marquee earnings reports, NFLX and TSLA, as being the genesis for today's selloff mostly led lower in the Nasdaq. However, do not overlook rates on the 10-Year Note (below on the weekly chart for TNX) bouncing back over 3.8% and off prior resistance trend as support now. Higher...
18Jul3:35 pmEST
The Sun Sets on Slam Dunk Investing
Earlier today I was reminded by a Member who had nailed the weakness in Hershey, below on the quarterly chart, that the iconic confectioner in central Pennsylvania had defied the market melt-up and has been as weak as any name since early-May. Alongside KO MCD PEP, I would have to say HSY represents the QE/ZIRP liquidity bonanza insofar as...
17Jul2:58 pmEST
Don't Write Off This Civilization, Just Yet
Quite a bit of buzz again about the death of the Dollar of late, especially in light of the selloff in the greenback. And while I am quite bullish on commodities due to entrenched inflation for the rest of the decade, in the short-term I still think the Dollar has some unfinished business above. In particular, we spent some time this weekend...
16Jul9:56 amEST
Weekend Overview and Analysis 07/16/23 {Video}
The following video is a brief, condensed version of the full-length Weekend Video Strategy Session which I present each weekend to members of Market Chess Subscription Services. In the longer version, I offer tons of actionable trade ideas, educational content, and in-depth objective analysis across all markets. Please click here for more...
13Jul3:28 pmEST
Only D.B. Cooper Can Turn This Market Now
Days like today make it feel like the market will rise at least 1% per day in perpetuity. After all, we have nonstop 0DTE options traders without a care in the world about SEC scrutiny, a Fed Chair who hems and haws even when he is supposedly hawkish, daily meme stocks like EDTX going bananas to the upside, and mega cap tech like META seemingly...
12Jul10:19 amEST
Celebrating What's Swept Under
Markets are still ebullient as I write this, with the softer CPI print this morning going as expected for the majority. The issue is that since the June CPI data, we have gasoline prices and oil going much higher, as seen respectively below on the daily charts for UGA and USO ETFs. Even though energy is only one part of the CPI, it is surely a...
11Jul12:16 pmEST
On Tigers, Bulls, and Bears
Well over a decade ago, the late, great, Julian Robertson gave an interview where he recalled being too early (i.e. wrong!) in shorting the Dot-Com Bubble in 1999/2000. Robertson had founded Tiger Management, one of the first hedge funds, in 1980, and is still considered to this day to be a Wall Street legend, mentoring tons of future stars. ...
09Jul9:46 amEST
Weekend Overview and Analysis 07/09/23 {Video}
The following video is a brief, condensed version of the full-length Weekend Video Strategy Session which I present each weekend to members of Market Chess Subscription Services. In the longer version, I offer tons of actionable trade ideas, educational content, and in-depth objective analysis across all markets. Please click here for more...
07Jul11:52 amEST
The Fed Checked Out of Inflation
But they can't ever leave. Despite a cooler jobs report this morning than the ADP data yesterday implied, fears of another Fed rate hike later this month remain very much in play. Small caps are trying to shrug that off by bouncing back from yesterday's selloff. However, I am looking for $186 (just above spot price) on the IWM ETF for the...
06Jul10:49 amEST
I Had to Get it on, Man; Inflation Was Making a Move
Prior comparisons to bull runs in stocks amid higher rates miss the mark insofar as the debt-to-GDP ratio being in the stratosphere this time around, not to mention a prolonged period of QE/ZIRP/"stimmies" policies enabling plenty of companies to not only survive but thrive when they otherwise would not have lasted a year or two in normalized...
02Jul7:57 amEST
Weekend Overview and Analysis 07/02/23 {Video}
The following video is a brief, condensed version of the full-length Weekend Video Strategy Session which I present each weekend to members of Market Chess Subscription Services. In the longer version, I offer tons of actionable trade ideas, educational content, and in-depth objective analysis across all markets. Please click here for more...
29Jun10:43 amEST
Higher for Longer Until "Something" Breaks
With stronger than expected GDP, uniform passing of stress tests by banks, and weekly jobless claims posting the biggest drop in twenty months, bulls seem to be in the "have our cake and eat it, too" mindset. However, in economics there is always a price to be paid. Here, rates must go higher, even as Powell and his band of merry printers at...
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About
“chessNwine” has been a popular trader and financial blogger since 2009. His work has appeared in The Wall Street Journal Online Edition, Yahoo Finance, TheStreet.com, Josh Brown’s The Reformed Broker blog, AbnormalReturns.com, Barry Ritholtz’s The Big Picture blog, and the “Suggested” stream on Stocktwits.com.
