Trading Ideas
Showing articles 1 - 20 (5709 total)
03Mar2:43 pmEST
Did You Even Say Gamsahabnida?
The South Korean KOSPI Index has been red-hot this year, mostly due to favorable corporate governance reforms and, of course, monstrous AI-driven demand for chips like Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix. Indeed, the EWY, country ETF for South Korea, surged roughly 40% in this early part of 2026 alone. As you can see on the EWY weekly chart,...
02Mar2:35 pmEST
Are We Sure Oil & Gas Are Fades?
"When you get a range expansion, the market is sending you a very loud, clear signal that the market is getting ready to move in the direction of that expansion." -Paul Tudor Jones The above quote by Paul Tudor Jones seems applicable to gasoline and oil, respectively below on their ETF monthly charts. On the back of Trump's decision to...
26Feb1:38 pmEST
It's the Reaction
As Michael Burry notes above, a stock at the epicenter of a roaring bull market/melt-up (or, dare I say, bubble) can easily top out for no rhyme or reason well before earnings ever show the slowdown. While bulls may understandably quibble with this logic, the reality is that markets often overshoot and then ruthlessly correct. In the case of a...
25Feb12:58 pmEST
With a Kiss
The Nasdaq is leading a broad market rally today on the back of a cheerleading performance by President Trump in last night's lengthy State of the Union Address. There is also hope that a deal will soon be struck with Iran to avert a major escalation. And even NVIDIA is rallying nicely in front of its big earnings report tonight. That said,...
24Feb3:37 pmEST
I Saw the Sign for Base Metals
Another day where we are hearing tons of bloviating about the deflationary nature of AI and the disruptions to life as we know it. But it is also another day where base metals and miners are rocking to the upside to virtually no fanfare. Specifically, copper and aluminum stocks are smoking hot. COPX is the copper miner ETF with a strong daily...
23Feb12:56 pmEST
I Want My $50,000 Dow Dollars!
In between thinking about Pam Bondi recently paying homage to Tatum O'Neal in Paper Moon (1973), we also have Trump's State of the Union Address coming up tomorrow evening. The President already gave out an expectation that he will give a "long speech," which could easily mean the east coast telecast will not conclude until well after...
19Feb12:54 pmEST
Dow Credit Card Drama
Despite still being in the Dow Jones Industrial Average, American Express has almost half the market cap as non-Dow component Mastercard, obviously another credit card play. Visa, of course, is bigger than both AXP and MA and is also in the Dow. Although we do not analyze the Dow as frequently as we do the other indices due to its narrow (only...
17Feb1:02 pmEST
Deny All You Want, This is Reality
You may have noticed a strong rotation into defensive names of late, particularly those offering reasonable valuation and a reliable dividend. Indeed, the XLP (consumer staples) and XLU (utilities) ETFs have thrived so far in 2026, in addition to the industrials in the XLI ETF. At the cross-section of several of those sectors we have the...
12Feb1:17 pmEST
Markets Do Indeed Have a Sense of Humor
The star of the dot-com bubble was Cisco, updated below on the quarterly chart. After earnings, CSCO is selling off today on the back of pressure from memory chip pricing. But the larger point is that Cisco finally--finally!--made its way back to its prior dot-com bubble highs after twenty-five years of meandering price action. The stock came...
10Feb2:36 pmEST
Until it Bends in the End
"The trend is your friend until it bends in the end." -Old Wall Street saying Software stocks in the IGV ETF are off to a terrible start in 2026. They were already out of favor, especially relative to other tech names like the memory segment of chips, since late-2025. But the slide became apparent to kick off the new year. However, beginning...
09Feb1:02 pmEST
Now We're Cooking with Gas!
The UGA ETF (below on the daily chart, zoomed-out) tracks RBOB gasoline futures contracts traded on the NYMEX. It is designed to reflect the spot price of unleaded gasoline in lieu of prices at the pump, which of course can fluctuate wildly in differences parts of the country. As you can see, UGA is trading today at its highest level since...
05Feb2:41 pmEST
Did Bezos Really Leave Jassy Holding the Bag?
Andy Jassy became CEO of Amazon on July 5th, 2021, taking over for the great Jeff Bezos. The move came several months before shares of AMZN would top out for the next few years and not print new highs until mid-2024. That said, we know Amazon has since made a series of new highs into early-November 2025 before cooling off. Still, I cannot help...
04Feb1:59 pmEST
Pop Quiz, Hotshot!
Pop quiz, Hotshot! Are you more familiar with the CEO of Palantir's hair than you are with the actual business model of Palantir? Are you more familiar with the CEO of Palantir mocking the stock's short-sellers (the stock has almost no more shorts left to squeeze, however) than you are with the actual business model of Palantir? Are you...
03Feb3:31 pmEST
Reminder: This is Still Nothing
The VIX remains below 20 even as software stocks in the IGV ETF slide further with a rather steep angle of descent. Palantir earnings failed to ignite a broad market rally. And the partial government shutdown ending this afternoon failed to spark much for rally, too. That said, dip-buyers are vocal that this selling is overdone. After all,...
02Feb12:08 pmEST
The Path Forward for Gold
The gold metal ETF, below on the zoomed-out daily timeframe, has not precisely tested its 200-day simple moving average (yellow line, arrow) in more than two years. In that regard, the move we have seen has obviously been an incredible outlier. It is all too tempting to declare a major, multi-year top to gold, as many are now doing, given...
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“chessNwine” has been a popular trader and financial blogger since 2009. His work has appeared in The Wall Street Journal Online Edition, Yahoo Finance, TheStreet.com, Josh Brown’s The Reformed Broker blog, AbnormalReturns.com, Barry Ritholtz’s The Big Picture blog, and the “Suggested” stream on Stocktwits.com.
