Trading Ideas

Showing articles 1 - 20 (5330 total)

18Apr2:08 pmEST

Now We See How Much of a Leader Apple Remains

In a testament to just how rabid the animal spirits have become on Wall Street these days, the glaring weakness in Apple in 2024, heretofore, has barely put a dent in the broad market for all of winter and a fair amount of Q2. No, for all of Q1 the likes of NVDA and SMCI, not to mention Magnificent 7 peers like MSFT META NFLX, and others,...

17Apr11:52 amEST

One DJT is More Important Than the Other DJT

During this election year, especially, amid the news flow and court proceedings it is completely understandable why the Trump Media new ticker, DJT, would garner plenty of attention from traders and even Main Street casual market watchers alike.  However, from my perch the other DJT, which stands for Dow Jones Transportation Average ticker, on...

16Apr3:10 pmEST

Sending Out an SOS on the SPR

It has been a tedious, choppy, back-and-forth session for the most part today. Apple is notably weak and in danger of giving up all of its recent bounce. And that seem especially bearish given how so many folks seemed hell-bent on precisely calling the bottom in the name to bet on considerable, imminent upside.  Powell gave some hawkish remarks...

15Apr11:25 amEST

Don't Lead Me On

While I am certainly no stranger to the variance (volatility) associated with all forms of speculation and gambling, the sheer amount of gaps-up-and-then-fight-to-fade-all-day we have seen in this market rivals anything I have ever seen.  Over the weekend I went back in time and studied the price action from the 1970s on as many timeframes as I...

14Apr11:32 amEST

Weekend Overview and Analysis 04/14/24 {Video}

The following video is a brief, condensed version of the full-length Weekend Video Strategy Session which I present each weekend to members of Market Chess Subscription Services. In the longer version, I offer tons of actionable trade ideas, educational content, and in-depth objective analysis across all markets.  Please click here  for more...

10Apr12:35 pmEST

Inflation Whiplash

Another hot CPI report this morning, with emphasis on gasoline and shelter prices, has doves running for cover as rates on the 10-Year push above 4.5%. An earlier dip-buy attempt in equities seemed initially convincing but has since sputtered.  Overall, inflation looks to be staging another leg higher for a kind of whiplash effect off what many...

05Apr2:11 pmEST

Afternoon Update 04/05/24 {Video}

04Apr3:16 pmEST

Changes In Latitudes, Changes In Attitudes

After being one of the undisputed monsters off the pre-Halloween low, AMD is now displaying serious signs of changes in latitudes and changes in price attitudes .  More importantly, the relevant issues for us is whether the large semiconductor play is functioning as a leader to the downside now, too, after clearly being one of the leaders to...

03Apr1:47 pmEST

Looking for a 5x4 By Memorial Day

Powell gave remarks at Stanford University earlier today where he is still sticking to his guns that we are merely seeing a "bumpy" path down to 2% target inflation. In other words, the recent data are not swaying him off his rate cut plan for later this year, just yet.  Powell and his cohorts at The Fed have been awfully stubborn on this...

02Apr12:25 pmEST

It's How Civilizations Fall

The SOFR is an acronym which stands for, "Secured Overnight Financing Rate," and is the replacement to LIBOR (which stood for "London Interbank Offer Rate"). LIBOR was deemed too prone to manipulation (try to hold your laughter) and thus the SOFR calculation was tweaked a bit from the LIBOR. But, essentially, SOFR acts like LIBOR did, as...

01Apr11:12 amEST

April Bond Fool in the Rain

I almost never headline a blog post with a chart. Typically, I use a photo relevant to the title or body of the post.  However, and this certainly is no April Fools' Day joke, TBT (ultra-SHORT ETF for Treasuries, essentially a bet on higher rates by being long TBT) has been the mainstay in my portfolio for over fifteen months now with Members....

31Mar11:26 amEST

Weekend Overview and Analysis 03/31/24 {Video}

The following video is a brief, condensed version of the full-length Weekend Video Strategy Session which I present each weekend to members of Market Chess Subscription Services. In the longer version, I offer tons of actionable trade ideas, educational content, and in-depth objective analysis across all markets.  Please click here  for more...

28Mar11:06 amEST

Silver is Risen

Quietly a strong end to the holiday week for gold, silver, and their miners.  Granted, tomorrow's PCE report with the cash markets closed will be a major event, especially once Easter dinner is done and Sunday night futures open into the new month and quarter on Monday.  However, recall during the 1970s that gold and metals/miners performed the...

26Mar3:50 pmEST

Look What Washed Ashore

Another super slow day out there (mostly, save DJT and RDDT type action). But note the ARM lockup expiry and weakness is impacting the semis into the bell negatively.  The SOX did not make a new high since the beginning of the month, diverging from the Nasdaq last week. And now we have a diamond top washing ashore with no fanfare because, after...

24Mar10:50 amEST

Weekend Overview and Analysis 03/24/24 {Video}

The following video is a brief, condensed version of the full-length Weekend Video Strategy Session which I present each weekend to members of Market Chess Subscription Services. In the longer version, I offer tons of actionable trade ideas, educational content, and in-depth objective analysis across all markets.  Please click here  for more...

22Mar3:29 pmEST

Afternoon Update 03/22/24 {Video}

21Mar2:37 pmEST

Metals and the Bond Market Can Stop This March Madness

Sure, we can discuss oil. But from my perch the bond market, shooting rates higher, and the precious metals with their derivative miners, are the two main forces which can push back on The Fed's likely mistake of focusing on rate cuts and ignoring the possibility of inflation igniting for another wave higher.  On the junior silver miner ETF...

20Mar3:31 pmEST

Jerome Powell Starring as Backdraft Ronald

"What would you like to do to the currency and confidence in inflation, Jerome?"  Burn it Gold, silver, copper, and the miners saw a surge as Powell opened his presser with incredibly dovish comments  even though some of the Fed voting members dot plots initially seemed a touch more hawkish than expected.  On the silver ETF monthly chart,...

19Mar12:50 pmEST

The Two Most Generous Bartenders in History

If nothing else, Jerome Powell and Janet Yellen may very well wind up going down in history as the two most generous bartenders, proving ample liquidity to markets at each and every juncture for a period of years.  You may be thinking that the current rally in equities, with the broad market refusing to pull back even 2% for nearly one hundred...

17Mar10:52 amEST

Weekend Overview and Analysis 03/17/24 {Video}

The following video is a brief, condensed version of the full-length Weekend Video Strategy Session which I present each weekend to members of Market Chess Subscription Services. In the longer version, I offer tons of actionable trade ideas, educational content, and in-depth objective analysis across all markets.  Please click here  for more...

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