Trading Ideas

Showing articles 1 - 20 (5301 total)

04Mar11:14 amEST

More Dignified Action

Amid plenty of other issues in markets and the world, it is quite easy to overlook the recent strength in natural gas after a prolonged period where natty bulls displayed unrivaled ineptitude.  On the UNG ETF daily chart, updated below, the gap up today is a sizable one. And over the last few weeks we have seen some tangible evidence of at...

03Mar8:34 amEST

Weekend Overview and Analysis 03/03/24 {Video}

The following video is a brief, condensed version of the full-length Weekend Video Strategy Session which I present each weekend to members of Market Chess Subscription Services. In the longer version, I offer tons of actionable trade ideas, educational content, and in-depth objective analysis across all markets.  Please click here  for more...

01Mar2:18 pmEST

Here's What the Powers That Be Don't Want to See 03/01/24 {Video}

29Feb11:44 amEST

It's Called Stealth for a Reason

The Nasdaq just faded to red as I am writing this. However, bears clearly need much more gusto than that to the downside in order to cement any kind of top.  That said, I expect the stealth distribution in "Magnificent 7" names AAPL TSLA and now GOOGL to prove to be a leading indicator of where this market is headed in March, and perhaps...

28Feb12:10 pmEST

Floating the Idea of a Berkshire Top

Monday's big downside reversal after surging to fresh all-time highs for Berkshire Hathaway "A Shares" was noteworthy since it was, among other factors, occurring the first trading session after the Berkshire Annual Letter hit the news headlines all weekend with Warren Buffett's thoughts on markets and life.  In addition, Berkshire's stock has...

27Feb11:31 amEST

Plenty of Coil in That Oil

In addition to natural gas starting off this week well we also have crude oil itself, below on the USO ETF daily chart, threatening to break well-defined resistance higher. You may have noticed gas prices creeping back higher at the pump, and that dovetails nicely with the energy commodities at-large showing signs go slowly waking up after a...

25Feb9:17 amEST

Weekend Overview and Analysis 02/25/24 {Video}

The following video is a brief, condensed version of the full-length Weekend Video Strategy Session which I present each weekend to members of Market Chess Subscription Services. In the longer version, I offer tons of actionable trade ideas, educational content, and in-depth objective analysis across all markets.  Please click here  for more...

23Feb3:37 pmEST

Afternoon Update 02/23/24 {Video}

22Feb11:19 amEST

Last Stand Hill

More jubilation from the AI crowd after NVDA's earnings report last night is seeing the semiconductors ramp higher this morning. NVDA itself is printing new highs, and a play like SMCI is all too happy to join in.  Both NVDA and SMH are screaming back higher, punching up through their respective upper daily chart Bollinger Bands, indicative of...

20Feb12:08 pmEST

Packed with Broken Heroes on a Last Chance Power Drive

While I am not crazy about performing complex technical analysis on an instruments like the VIX (daily chart, below) since it is several steps removed from equities as derivatives, it is noteworthy that the "Fear Index" is attempting to break a long, sideways congestion zone higher again today.  The low-to-mid teens has certainly been a...

18Feb10:59 amEST

Weekend Overview and Analysis 02/18/24 {Video}

The following video is a brief, condensed version of the full-length Weekend Video Strategy Session which I present each weekend to members of Market Chess Subscription Services. In the longer version, I offer tons of actionable trade ideas, educational content, and in-depth objective analysis across all markets.  Please click here  for more...

16Feb3:38 pmEST

Afternoon Update 02/16/24 {Video}

15Feb3:07 pmEST

Keeping it Actionable When the Action Goes Off the Rails

One would think rates would be knifing back under 4.2% today, given the continuing speculative mania in SMCI, for example, as the AI bubble rolls on. However, that is not the case: Rates are barely down.  Furthermore, Jeff Bezos is unloading billions of AMZN and now Warren Buffett is selling some of his AAPL (mind you, Buffett prefers to hold...

14Feb12:20 pmEST

Too Many Kisses on Valentine's Day

Even though Apple has been relatively quiet of late, especially compared to the AI/chips as well as other "Magnificent 7" stocks, there is no getting around the fact that the firm still has a market cap of $2.82 trillion, as we speak.  Hence, the sheer size and weightings in the various indices and ETFs render AAPL incredibly relevant at all...

13Feb12:33 pmEST

We're Just Sweeping Dirty Dishes Under the Rug

It almost seems as though the market, and indeed many pundits, are still reeling from hot CPI print this morning. In other words, I seriously doubt we have seen the full brunt of the fallout from the notion that inflation is back on the upswing. Hence, imminent rate cuts are almost assuredly off the table, even for this Fed. And that is...

12Feb12:40 pmEST

Smooth Seas Forever

“A smooth sea never made a skilled sailor." -Franklin D. Roosevelt  In front of tomorrow morning's Consumer Price Index print we have stocks higher. In particular, the rotation attempt down to small caps is taking hold. Even the oil stocks are finally waking up a bit, mostly the oil services names in the OIH ETF (look at RIG) and the...

11Feb9:40 amEST

Weekend Overview and Analysis 02/11/24 {Video}

The following video is a brief, condensed version of the full-length Weekend Video Strategy Session which I present each weekend to members of Market Chess Subscription Services. In the longer version, I offer tons of actionable trade ideas, educational content, and in-depth objective analysis across all markets.  Please click here  for more...

09Feb2:45 pmEST

Afternoon Update 02/09/24 {Video}

07Feb1:34 pmEST

I Think I'll Just Stay Here and Drink

Long-term extended and expensive names, like COST ORLY and Visa, are pushing higher yet today as some of the heavier-weighted names in the Nasdaq, like META, also try to pick up the slack and drown out weakness in the small caps and biotechs again.  The same dynamic, of an extremely narrow but historically resilient bull market melt-up, that we...

06Feb12:22 pmEST

Did AI Solve the Need to Ship Goods Around the World?

Nice breakout attempts from some nice shipping charts, below, which we have been noting with Members for a while now: GNK and SB.  Meanwhile. NVDA is finally dipping and perhaps printing a bearish engulfing daily reversal candle, pending the close today.  Still, we have seen this movie too many times before to not think that dip-buyers/0DTE...

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