Trading Ideas

Showing articles 1 - 20 (3356 total)

20Nov9:46 amEST

A Savage Market as 2018 Winds Down

I have some traveling to do today for Thanksgiving, which is likely to see me staying in full cash through the holiday. While the selling may seem overdone, the reality is that bulls have failed miserably in terms of presenting themselves with any sort of conviction at fairly big technical levels, such as 2,700 on the S&P 500 Index.  Indeed, it...

19Nov1:24 pmEST

The Dow is 420-Friendly for Thanksgiving

The Dow is off by more than 400 points as I write this, ushering in a nasty beginning to the Thanksgiving-shortened week of trading. There are very few, if any, places to hide on the long side besides cash, as the crypto plays and pot stocks are getting clocked, too, on top of prominent tech names like CRM, NVDA, and FB.  I moved back to a 100%...

15Nov5:15 pmEST

Stock Market Recap 11/15/18 {Video}

The following video is a brief, condensed version of the Stock Market Recap which I present each evening to members of Market Chess Subscription Services. In the longer version, I offer tons of actionable trade ideas, educational content, and in-depth objective analysis across all markets. If you enjoy my videos and blog posts, then  please...

15Nov2:59 pmEST

It Can't Just Be Based on Prayer

With the help of headlines about delayed tariffs, bulls are regrouping nicely after a sloppy morning part of the session. AAPL, GS, and bios are soundly green now and helping to offer hope for bulls betting on a rally into Thanksgiving week.  But such a bet cannot be based solely on hope and prayer. Instead, we likely need to kick off that...

15Nov10:46 amEST

Good Idea; Poor Execution

A rally led by suddenly-downtrodden Apple and the biotechs seemed like a swell idea this morning, just when bears figured they had bulls trapped in a corner to deliver a knockout blow or two after a pre-market fade.  However, as I write this I see the IBB ETF back to red, and AAPL and XBI (smaller cap biotech ETF compared to the larger IBB)...

14Nov2:31 pmEST

Remember Me: Benny Blanco from the Backtest?

Several weeks ago we observe the weekly chart for the Wilshire 5000 Total Market Index, which is the most comprehensive of the indices in that it measures performance of all U.S. equity securities with readily available price data. When we looked at that Wilshire chart previously, we observed the major support trend-line since early-2016 which...

14Nov10:21 amEST

Bull Markets (And Apple) Don't Die of Old Age But They Do Slow Down

Despite yet another triple-digit rally in the Dow off the opening bell, we have some underlying weakness in key parts of the market which continue to weigh on equities.  As an example, even if Apple's growth leadership days are now dwindling due to the law of large numbers (for argument's sake), we must acknowledge that this is one of the most...

13Nov5:07 pmEST

Stock Market Recap 11/13/18 {Video}

The following video is a brief, condensed version of the Stock Market Recap which I present each evening to members of Market Chess Subscription Services. In the longer version, I offer tons of actionable trade ideas, educational content, and in-depth objective analysis across all markets. If you enjoy my videos and blog posts, then  please...

13Nov10:43 amEST

Not Just a Matter of Semantics, You Know

With crude oil still flashing deep red as I write this, while Apple and Goldman Sachs are putting in rather tepid bounces so far, it is worth reiterating that when we speak of chart patterns we must frequently use the word "potential" when appropriate.  Specifically, if a chart pattern is only theoretical and has not yet been confirmed, we...

12Nov5:10 pmEST

Stock Market Recap 11/12/18 {Video}

The following video is a brief, condensed version of the Stock Market Recap which I present each evening to members of Market Chess Subscription Services. In the longer version, I offer tons of actionable trade ideas, educational content, and in-depth objective analysis across all markets. If you enjoy my videos and blog posts, then  please...

12Nov3:27 pmEST

Your Cabin in the Woods is Not as Safe as You Think

With the broad market correction continuing to be the controlling factor regarding most equities at the moment, it is worth looking into the idea that many of the "safe" stocks housed in the XLP ETF for consumer staples may be ripe to participate in the correction themselves. As a market correction deepens, bears are notorious for showing those...

11Nov4:23 pmEST

Weekend Overview and Analysis 11/11/18 {Video}

The following video is a brief, condensed version of the full-length Weekend Video Strategy Session which I present each weekend to members of Market Chess Subscription Services. In the longer version, I offer tons of actionable trade ideas, educational content, and in-depth objective analysis across all markets.  Please click here  for more...

09Nov10:32 amEST

Southwestern Tough to Survive This Saloon

Crude oil bulls have found themselves in the wrong saloon, and have yet to alleviate the situation in any way, shape, or form. Just this morning, for example, we have another gap down not just in crude itself, but also the OIH XLE XOP ETFs for energy-related stocks.  Oil has been noticeably weakening since early-October, perhaps coinciding with...

08Nov2:22 pmEST

Is Tesla the Leader We Should Really Be Looking At?

One of the most challenging aspects of being a speculator, in any form, is simultaneously having strong opinions grounded in your core process while also being able to continually reevaluate that thesis to see if it continues to stand up to the scrutiny of markets.  In other words, we have to do our homework, place our bets, track our bets...

08Nov10:37 amEST

A Test from Above

The nagging weakness in crude oil is gaining more attention by the day, as "Black Gold" has been acting more like, well, gold-gold, in recent weeks. Our attention, frankly, has been focused more on the intriguing and impressive strength in natural gas, both in absolute terms and of course relative to crude. In fact, as crude has made...

07Nov5:31 pmEST

Stock Market Recap 11/07/18 {Video}

The following video is a brief, condensed version of the Stock Market Recap which I present each evening to members of Market Chess Subscription Services. In the longer version, I offer tons of actionable trade ideas, educational content, and in-depth objective analysis across all markets. If you enjoy my videos and blog posts, then  please...

07Nov2:33 pmEST

Unprecedented Thanksgiving Week Travel Should Add Fuel to the Fire

In addition to the usual stress associated with the holidays, the TSA is out today  predicting a very hectic travel week in what is already considered to be the busiest week of the year for planes, trains, and automobiles. Whether or not the TSA's prediction comes to fruition, in that agency's infinite wisdom, remains to be seen. But armed...

07Nov10:33 amEST

The Race Takes a Bad Turn for Bears

With the midterm elections now out of the way, combined with a particularly strong earnings report out of Twilio, the market seems more focused on rotating back into tech growth stocks than anything else this morning.  As I write this, TWLO has already printed fresh all-time highs and it up nearly 28%, quite impressive indeed considering the...

06Nov4:59 pmEST

Stock Market Recap 11/06/18 {Video}

The following video is a brief, condensed version of the Stock Market Recap which I present each evening to members of Market Chess Subscription Services. In the longer version, I offer tons of actionable trade ideas, educational content, and in-depth objective analysis across all markets. If you enjoy my videos and blog posts, then  please...

06Nov11:35 amEST

Thirsty for Momentum

Part of the nature of corrective markets is that they do not so much as scare you out as they do wear you out with choppy action and a vast array of head-fakes along the way. And on this midterm election Tuesday, bulls are turning in a decent effort this morning in the Nasdaq to try to reignite some momentum growth plays, albeit with the QQQ...

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